Market regime

Composite of trend & momentum, volatility structure and credit & liquidity. Breadth, sentiment and macro layers are not in the model yet.
History
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Strong bearBearNeutralBullStrong bull

Composite score history · S&P 500

Trend by index

IndexClose1dvs 200-DMA 52w drawdown3m12mScore

Each metric is mapped linearly onto a score from −2 to +2 between two anchor values (shown on hover). A block is the average of its metrics; the composite weighs trend 50 %, volatility 25 %, credit & liquidity 25 %. Phases: strong bear below −1.2, bear to −0.4, neutral to +0.4, bull to +1.2, strong bull above.

Sources: Yahoo Finance daily closes (indices, ETFs, VIX family, MOVE), FRED (OAS spreads, Fed balance sheet, TGA, reverse repo, NFCI, yields). Updated every 4–6 hours.