QQQ · SPY · IWM · Five years
Quiet-session hypotheses
12 hypotheses tested on minute data from Massive. 13 Sep 2021 — 10 Sep 2026.
Range no wider than 10 September. (High − Low) / Open × 100 ≤ 0.7356%. The threshold is fixed at the range of this ETF on 10 September 2026.
Only full 390-minute sessions, 09:30–16:00 New York. The anchor session on 10 September is excluded from all hypothesis frequencies.
QQQ · Do the hypotheses hold up?
All five years · 1243 sessionsEach frequency is qualifying sessions / all sessions with or without the condition. The difference is in percentage points; the 95% interval uses a 20-session block bootstrap. The added-history comparison always uses 2021–2024, regardless of the year filter. Findings refer to that added history and account for multiple comparisons.
| Hypothesis | Selected period All five years | Added history 2021–2024 | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low VIX at the previous closeVIX < 15 at the exact previous exchange close. | With condition20.3%54 / 266 Without4.9%48 / 977 +15.4 pp95% CI: +9.2 … +21.8 | With condition16.5%38 / 230 Without2.4%14 / 594 +14.2 pp95% CI: +7.6 … +20.9 | Increase also seen in added history |
| AugustAll complete August sessions. | With condition9.1%10 / 110 Without8.1%92 / 1133 +1.0 pp95% CI: -7.1 … +10.2 | With condition0.0%0 / 68 Without6.9%52 / 756 -6.9 pp95% CI: —An arm has no variation; interval unavailable. | A consistent increase is not established |
| August–SeptemberCalendar months; the 2021 and 2026 boundaries are incomplete. | With condition9.4%20 / 212 Without8.0%82 / 1031 +1.5 pp95% CI: -5.7 … +9.8 | With condition1.4%2 / 143 Without7.3%50 / 681 -5.9 pp95% CI: -9.4 … -1.9 | A consistent increase is not established |
| MondayDay of the week in New York. | With condition12.0%28 / 233 Without7.3%74 / 1010 +4.7 pp95% CI: +0.8 … +8.8 | With condition6.5%10 / 153 Without6.3%42 / 671 +0.3 pp95% CI: -4.1 … +4.6 | A consistent increase is not established |
| A week with an exchange holidayMonday–Friday contains a full exchange closure. | With condition8.0%15 / 188 Without8.2%87 / 1055 -0.3 pp95% CI: -5.5 … +5.2 | With condition7.6%9 / 119 Without6.1%43 / 705 +1.5 pp95% CI: -3.6 … +7.2 | A consistent increase is not established |
| Before an exchange holidayOne of the three exchange sessions before a closure. | With condition9.0%13 / 145 Without8.1%89 / 1098 +0.9 pp95% CI: -4.2 … +6.2 | With condition7.5%7 / 93 Without6.2%45 / 731 +1.4 pp95% CI: -3.7 … +6.9 | A consistent increase is not established |
| After an exchange holidayOne of the three exchange sessions after a closure. | With condition9.7%14 / 144 Without8.0%88 / 1099 +1.7 pp95% CI: -4.1 … +7.9 | With condition9.0%8 / 89 Without6.0%44 / 735 +3.0 pp95% CI: -3.6 … +10.7 | A consistent increase is not established |
| The session before CPIThe last exchange session before the monthly release. | With condition1.7%1 / 59 Without8.5%101 / 1184 -6.8 pp95% CI: -10.4 … -2.6 | With condition2.5%1 / 40 Without6.5%51 / 784 -4.0 pp95% CI: -8.3 … +1.9 | A consistent increase is not established |
| The session before the Fed decisionThe session before the policy decision. | With condition10.0%4 / 40 Without8.1%98 / 1203 +1.9 pp95% CI: -5.9 … +10.9 | With condition7.4%2 / 27 Without6.3%50 / 797 +1.1 pp95% CI: -6.9 … +10.9 | A consistent increase is not established |
| The session before the jobs reportThe last exchange session before Employment Situation, including releases on exchange holidays. | With condition3.4%2 / 58 Without8.4%100 / 1185 -5.0 pp95% CI: -9.0 … -0.3 | With condition5.3%2 / 38 Without6.4%50 / 786 -1.1 pp95% CI: -6.5 … +5.7 | A consistent increase is not established |
| One or two sessions before CPI / NFP / the FedAt least one of these releases follows within one or two exchange sessions. | With condition6.5%20 / 310 Without8.8%82 / 933 -2.3 pp95% CI: -5.0 … +0.4 | With condition3.4%7 / 205 Without7.3%45 / 619 -3.9 pp95% CI: -7.0 … -0.8 | A consistent increase is not established |
| CPI release dayA monthly CPI release before the regular-session open. | With condition8.5%5 / 59 Without8.2%97 / 1184 +0.3 pp95% CI: -5.7 … +7.1 | With condition2.5%1 / 40 Without6.5%51 / 784 -4.0 pp95% CI: -8.3 … +1.8 | A consistent increase is not established |
These are historical associations. Conditions can overlap, and the estimates do not establish causality or a ready-to-use forecasting probability.
Each hypothesis by year
Difference in frequency, pp
Positive values mean a higher frequency with the condition. Compare the sign and size across years; a dash means one of the groups has no observations.
| Condition | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low VIX at the previous close | —0/0 · 5/77 | —0/0 · 0/250 | +9.8 pp10/90 · 2/158 | +13.6 pp28/140 · 7/109 | +44.8 pp12/21 · 28/226 | +22.8 pp4/15 · 6/157 |
| August | —0/0 · 5/77 | +0.0 pp0/23 · 0/227 | -5.3 pp0/23 · 12/225 | -15.4 pp0/22 · 35/227 | +8.3 pp5/21 · 35/226 | +20.5 pp5/21 · 5/151 |
| August–September | -7.9 pp0/14 · 5/63 | +0.0 pp0/44 · 0/206 | -5.9 pp0/43 · 12/205 | -11.2 pp2/42 · 33/207 | +14.9 pp12/42 · 28/205 | +19.5 pp6/27 · 4/145 |
| Monday | -0.3 pp1/16 · 4/61 | +0.0 pp0/45 · 0/205 | -0.4 pp2/44 · 10/204 | +0.7 pp7/48 · 28/201 | +13.5 pp13/48 · 27/199 | +12.1 pp5/32 · 5/140 |
| A week with an exchange holiday | -7.1 pp0/7 · 5/70 | +0.0 pp0/35 · 0/215 | +6.7 pp4/38 · 8/210 | -1.5 pp5/39 · 30/210 | -2.3 pp6/42 · 34/205 | -6.9 pp0/27 · 10/145 |
| Before an exchange holiday | -7.0 pp0/6 · 5/71 | +0.0 pp0/30 · 0/220 | +6.2 pp3/29 · 9/219 | +0.3 pp4/28 · 31/221 | -0.1 pp5/31 · 35/216 | -1.2 pp1/21 · 9/151 |
| After an exchange holiday | -6.9 pp0/5 · 5/72 | +0.0 pp0/26 · 0/224 | +10.1 pp4/29 · 8/219 | -0.3 pp4/29 · 31/220 | -0.7 pp5/32 · 35/215 | -1.7 pp1/23 · 9/149 |
| The session before CPI | -6.8 pp0/4 · 5/73 | +0.0 pp0/12 · 0/238 | +3.7 pp1/12 · 11/236 | -14.8 pp0/12 · 35/237 | -16.9 pp0/11 · 40/236 | -6.1 pp0/8 · 10/164 |
| The session before the Fed decision | +27.9 pp1/3 · 4/74 | +0.0 pp0/8 · 0/242 | -5.0 pp0/8 · 12/240 | -1.6 pp1/8 · 34/241 | -3.8 pp1/8 · 39/239 | +14.6 pp1/5 · 9/167 |
| The session before the jobs report | -6.8 pp0/3 · 5/74 | +0.0 pp0/12 · 0/238 | -5.1 pp0/12 · 12/236 | +4.3 pp2/11 · 33/238 | -16.9 pp0/11 · 40/236 | -6.1 pp0/9 · 10/163 |
| One or two sessions before CPI / NFP / the Fed | +5.4 pp2/19 · 3/58 | +0.0 pp0/63 · 0/187 | -4.3 pp1/62 · 11/186 | -9.9 pp4/61 · 31/188 | -1.6 pp9/60 · 31/187 | +4.2 pp4/45 · 6/127 |
| CPI release day | -6.8 pp0/4 · 5/73 | +0.0 pp0/12 · 0/238 | -5.1 pp0/12 · 12/236 | -6.0 pp1/12 · 34/237 | +2.1 pp2/11 · 38/236 | +20.1 pp2/8 · 8/164 |
QQQ · The yearly baseline
Range no wider than 10 SeptemberAll available years for the selected definition. 2021 starts in September; 2026 ends on 9 September. Click a year to filter the comparisons and examples.
| Year | Full sessions | Meeting the definition | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021Partial year | 77 | 6.5%5 / 77 | ≤ 0.7356% |
| 2022 | 250 | 0.0%0 / 250 | ≤ 0.7356% |
| 2023 | 248 | 4.8%12 / 248 | ≤ 0.7356% |
| 2024 | 249 | 14.1%35 / 249 | ≤ 0.7356% |
| 2025 | 247 | 16.2%40 / 247 | ≤ 0.7356% |
| 2026Partial year | 172 | 5.8%10 / 172 | ≤ 0.7356% |
Seasonal comparison
QQQ · All five yearsCalendar-year seasons: winter combines January, February and December. The boundary years are incomplete; the sample sizes reflect the available dates.
| Season | Full sessions | Meeting the definition | Median range, all sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter · Jan/Feb/Dec | 301 | 7.6%23 / 301 | 1.432% |
| Spring · Mar–May | 318 | 6.0%19 / 318 | 1.566% |
| Summer · Jun–Aug | 315 | 9.2%29 / 315 | 1.355% |
| Autumn · Sep–Nov | 309 | 10.0%31 / 309 | 1.295% |
Market conditions before the open
Medians · All five years| Prior observation | Meeting the definition | Other sessions |
|---|---|---|
| VIX at the previous close | 14.905N = 102 | 18.360N = 1141 |
| Median range of the previous 20 sessions | 1.079%N = 102 | 1.409%N = 1121 |
Historical comparison and uncertainty checks
2025–2026 · tests · block sizes
The 2025–2026 column repeats the comparison on previously examined data. All other columns concern added 2021–2024 history. Fisher p-values and Holm correction across 36 ETF × hypothesis comparisons are diagnostic tests that assume independent sessions. Block-bootstrap intervals account for serial dependence within resampled blocks; sizes 10 and 40 check sensitivity to the main choice of 20.
| Condition | 2025–2026 | Fisher p | Holm p · 36 | 95% CI · block 10 | 95% CI · block 40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low VIX at the previous close | With condition44.4%16 / 36 Without8.9%34 / 383 +35.6 pp95% CI: +21.5 … +54.2 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | +8.1 … +20.5 | +7.2 … +20.8 |
| August | With condition23.8%10 / 42 Without10.6%40 / 377 +13.2 pp95% CI: -0.7 … +27.4 | 0.017 | 0.524 | — | — |
| August–September | With condition26.1%18 / 69 Without9.1%32 / 350 +16.9 pp95% CI: +2.4 … +28.2 | 0.004 | 0.141 | -9.3 … -1.9 | -9.4 … -2.1 |
| Monday | With condition22.5%18 / 80 Without9.4%32 / 339 +13.1 pp95% CI: +5.3 … +21.7 | 0.855 | 1.000 | -4.1 … +4.7 | -3.8 … +4.4 |
| A week with an exchange holiday | With condition8.7%6 / 69 Without12.6%44 / 350 -3.9 pp95% CI: -14.9 … +7.4 | 0.541 | 1.000 | -3.8 … +7.5 | -3.5 … +7.0 |
| Before an exchange holiday | With condition11.5%6 / 52 Without12.0%44 / 367 -0.5 pp95% CI: -10.8 … +10.0 | 0.649 | 1.000 | -4.2 … +7.6 | -3.3 … +6.4 |
| After an exchange holiday | With condition10.9%6 / 55 Without12.1%44 / 364 -1.2 pp95% CI: -11.9 … +9.6 | 0.252 | 1.000 | -3.6 … +10.9 | -3.6 … +10.5 |
| The session before CPI | With condition0.0%0 / 19 Without12.5%50 / 400 -12.5 pp95% CI: —An arm has no variation; interval unavailable. | 0.506 | 1.000 | -8.3 … +2.1 | -8.3 … +1.4 |
| The session before the Fed decision | With condition15.4%2 / 13 Without11.8%48 / 406 +3.6 pp95% CI: -12.5 … +23.6 | 0.686 | 1.000 | -7.1 … +11.8 | -6.3 … +9.6 |
| The session before the jobs report | With condition0.0%0 / 20 Without12.5%50 / 399 -12.5 pp95% CI: —An arm has no variation; interval unavailable. | 1.000 | 1.000 | -7.0 … +6.3 | -6.0 … +4.5 |
| One or two sessions before CPI / NFP / the Fed | With condition12.4%13 / 105 Without11.8%37 / 314 +0.6 pp95% CI: -4.3 … +5.8 | 0.048 | 1.000 | -7.1 … -0.6 | -6.8 … -1.0 |
| CPI release day | With condition21.1%4 / 19 Without11.5%46 / 400 +9.6 pp95% CI: -5.7 … +28.8 | 0.506 | 1.000 | -8.4 … +2.2 | -7.9 … +1.1 |
Calendar rescheduling sensitivity: 37 dates excluded; the direction was unchanged in 11 / 12 comparisons.
Method, coverage and sources
Regular-session High, Low and Open are calculated from Massive minute bars. Close1 is the sum of absolute changes between consecutive minute closes, including the move from the first open to the first close, divided by the first open. Premarket and the overnight gap are excluded. A small range and a short accumulated path are different outcomes.
Coverage of the full dataset, including the anchor: 1244 / 1254 full sessions; 10 scheduled short sessions excluded; 0 incomplete sessions. Short sessions and the anchor are excluded from hypothesis frequencies. The CSV also includes excluded sessions, with explicit labels. Short dates: 2021-11-26, 2022-11-25, 2023-07-03, 2023-11-24, 2024-07-03, 2024-11-29, 2024-12-24, 2025-07-03, 2025-11-28, 2025-12-24.
Checks completed: 3,762 price sessions, 1,461,772 minute bars, 1,944 conditional counts.
The original threshold and hypotheses were chosen after observing 10 September 2026. Added 2021–2024 history expands the check, but is not a prospective test. The conditions overlap and may reflect the same market regime. Do not multiply these frequencies to obtain a forecast.
An increase or decrease is highlighted only when the added-history Holm p-value is below 0.05 and all three bootstrap intervals (mean blocks 10, 20 and 40) have the same nonzero sign. This is an exploratory robustness rule. In the added history, VIX below 15 occurred only in 2023–2024; not every condition has observations in every year.
For range10 and path10, the yearly 10th-percentile thresholds use the complete available year slice and exclude the anchor. They are a descriptive sensitivity check, not thresholds known in advance. Membership uses unrounded values and includes equality at the threshold.
CPI and NFP use actual monthly release dates, including postponements; seasonal-factor revisions and benchmark updates are separate events. Fed dates refer to policy decisions. The last trading session before an event is counted even when the release falls on a closed exchange day. Final calendars do not reconstruct every historical announcement of a postponement.
Prior VIX and the previous 20-session range use only earlier sessions. Consensus forecasts, news surprises and options positioning were not measured. The bootstrap intervals are pointwise and are not simultaneous confidence bounds for all hypotheses.
Intervals use 10,000 stationary-bootstrap samples with mean block length 20 sessions, separately within each year and with shared indices for all ETFs. When an original comparison arm has zero successes or zero failures, its bootstrap interval is hidden: resampling cannot create an unobserved outcome. Missing arms or too few valid replicates also produce a dash. Other intervals remain approximate.
Baseline dates: 13 Sep 2021 — 09 Sep 2026. Built: 2026-09-10 23:37:47 UTC.
Massive · minute OHLC · BLS · 2021 · BLS · 2022 · BLS · 2023 · BLS · 2024 · BLS · 2025 · BLS · 2026 · Federal Reserve · FOMC · NYSE · holidays · Cboe · VIX
Snapshot: 7ebd7bf1d9b80a411a2f479695f90c6028de70bc7df118ccf0e685ff18f3e982
Typical volatility: months and short weeks
QQQ · 2022–2025December: the monthly median range was below the yearly median in 4 / 4 complete years; the path in 4 / 4. August range ranks changed across years: 1 / 8 / 12 / 3.
A count of unusually narrow days does not describe the typical day. This section compares medians across all full sessions. The four complete years 2022–2025 are fixed here, regardless of the year or quiet-session definition selected above.
Monthly medians and consistency across years
12 months · range and path
The large figures pool the four years. Ranks are calculated separately within 2022 / 2023 / 2024 / 2025, with 1 meaning the lowest monthly median. The last column counts years in which the monthly median was below the median of all sessions in that year. Four yearly observations are a descriptive check, not a permanent seasonal rule.
| Month | Median range | Median path · close1 | Below yearly median |
|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryN = 81 | 1.534%Ranks: 11 / 12 / 3 / 8 | 15.00%Ranks: 6 / 11 / 4 / 9 | Range: 1 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| FebruaryN = 77 | 1.535%Ranks: 6 / 11 / 4 / 9 | 14.33%Ranks: 8 / 12 / 3 / 7 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| MarchN = 87 | 1.755%Ranks: 5 / 10 / 5 / 11 | 16.51%Ranks: 7 / 10 / 6 / 11 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 1 / 4 |
| AprilN = 82 | 1.792%Ranks: 8 / 6 / 9 / 12 | 15.36%Ranks: 4 / 4 / 9 / 12 | Range: 1 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| MayN = 86 | 1.346%Ranks: 12 / 5 / 1 / 7 | 12.08%Ranks: 12 / 5 / 1 / 8 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| JuneN = 81 | 1.355%Ranks: 9 / 7 / 2 / 4 | 12.48%Ranks: 11 / 8 / 5 / 5 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| JulyN = 81 | 1.217%Ranks: 4 / 3 / 11 / 1 | 12.16%Ranks: 3 / 3 / 11 / 1 | Range: 3 / 4Path: 3 / 4 |
| AugustN = 89 | 1.426%Ranks: 1 / 8 / 12 / 3 | 13.04%Ranks: 1 / 7 / 12 / 3 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| SeptemberN = 82 | 1.229%Ranks: 7 / 4 / 10 / 2 | 12.51%Ranks: 9 / 6 / 10 / 2 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| OctoberN = 89 | 1.352%Ranks: 10 / 9 / 8 / 6 | 14.11%Ranks: 10 / 9 / 7 / 4 | Range: 2 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| NovemberN = 77 | 1.376%Ranks: 3 / 1 / 6 / 10 | 11.64%Ranks: 5 / 1 / 8 / 10 | Range: 3 / 4Path: 2 / 4 |
| DecemberN = 82 | 1.143%Ranks: 2 / 2 / 7 / 5 | 10.80%Ranks: 2 / 2 / 2 / 6 | Range: 4 / 4Path: 4 / 4 |
Daily volatility in holiday weeks
Ratio: holiday / ordinaryOnly 390-minute daily sessions enter both groups. A shorter week has fewer trading days; this comparison does not sum their weekly path. A ratio below 1 means lower daily volatility in weeks with an exchange closure.
| Comparison | Range ratio | Path ratio |
|---|---|---|
| Observed medians | 0.954× | 0.946× |
| Same year and similar prior VIX | 1.005× | 0.989× |
| Groups by year and prior VIX | 0.996× | 0.982× |
Matching uses the nearest previous-close VIX within 0.75 points and the same year; controls may repeat. Grouping uses fixed VIX bands: below 15, 15–20, 20–25, 25–30 and at least 30, with at least five days in each arm. Its result is a weighted geometric mean of within-group median ratios. Different methods estimate different summaries; agreement close to 1 indicates a small association after this control.
The regular session after an active premarket
QQQ · Five yearsA wider premarket was associated with a more active regular session in this sample. Ranges and paths are percentages of the opening price of their own window.
Premarket is 04:00–09:30 New York; the regular session is 09:30–16:00. “High premarket range” means the top 25% of premarket ranges within the ETF and calendar year. “Quiet RTH” means the lowest 20% of the corresponding regular-session measure within that year. Both thresholds are retrospective; 10 September is excluded from their calculation and from the comparisons. This block uses all available years, regardless of the filters above.
| Regular-session outcome | High premarket range | Other premarkets | After controlling for market conditions |
|---|---|---|---|
| RTH rangeMedians and quiet-session counts | 1.764%N = 313Quiet RTH: 20 / 313 · 6.4% | 1.291%N = 930Quiet RTH: 231 / 930 · 24.8% | +19.4%Conditional geometric mean95% CI: +14.3 … +24.8% |
| RTH path · close1Medians and quiet-session counts | 16.711%N = 313Quiet RTH: 12 / 313 · 3.8% | 11.902%N = 930Quiet RTH: 239 / 930 · 25.7% | +17.6%Conditional geometric mean95% CI: +13.5 … +21.8% |
What the control accounts for
HAC · Holm
The first two columns show ordinary medians. The controlled percentage estimates a change in the conditional geometric mean from a regression of log RTH volatility on the high-premarket indicator, log prior VIX and its square, year, month, weekday and holiday-week status. The interval uses HAC with 20 lags; the full calculation also checks 10 and 40 lags and Holm correction across six ETF × outcome tests. It estimates an association, not a causal effect.
Premarket observation coverage
Minutes with trade bars
The premarket range uses available Massive trade bars. A missing minute is not filled with an invented price or a zero. Premarket observations are sparse, especially before 08:00, so an accumulated premarket path would be more sensitive to coverage; this comparison uses the premarket High–Low range.
| New York window | Median minute coverage | All minutes observed |
|---|---|---|
| 04:00–09:30 | 87.0% | 46 / 1254 |
| 08:00–09:30 | 100.0% | 911 / 1254 |
Premarket reference: 10 September 2026
Excluded from the comparisonPremarket range: 1.446% · 80.8 percentile. Absolute premarket move: 1.136% · 97.1 percentile. Percentiles compare prior 2026 sessions.
Regular-session range: 0.736%. Regular-session close1 path: 10.71%. The premarket range and its net move answer different questions: how wide the price corridor was and how far price moved from its premarket start.
Fixed reference: 10 September 2026
QQQ · outside the filters and all hypothesis frequenciesOpening gap versus the previous final-minute close: -1.219%. The gap is excluded from the regular-session measures. The ranks compare the 173 full 2026 sessions through the anchor, not all five years.
QQQ · Sessions meeting the selected definition
All five years · 102 historical matchesRange no wider than 10 September. Dates and times are New York local. Nearby events describe the calendar context. The anchor, if present, is highlighted and excluded from the statistics.
| Date | Range | Path · close1 | Prior VIX | Calendar context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2021Fri | 0.609% | 7.26% | 16.86 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 02 Nov 2021Tue | 0.721% | 8.09% | 16.41 |
Next releases:FOMC · 03 Nov 2021 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 08 Nov 2021Mon | 0.557% | 9.35% | 16.48 |
Prior releases:NFP · 05 Nov 2021
Next releases:CPI · 10 Nov 2021 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 11 Nov 2021Thu | 0.639% | 8.80% | 18.73 |
Prior releases:CPI · 10 Nov 2021
|
| 19 Nov 2021Fri | 0.674% | 9.42% | 17.59 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 09 May 2023Tue | 0.484% | 7.09% | 16.98 |
Next releases:CPI · 10 May 2023 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 22 May 2023Mon | 0.723% | 9.76% | 16.81 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 31 Jul 2023Mon | 0.662% | 10.08% | 13.33 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 16 Nov 2023Thu | 0.683% | 10.64% | 14.18 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 17 Nov 2023Fri | 0.722% | 8.52% | 14.32 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 21 Nov 2023Tue | 0.650% | 8.00% | 13.41 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2023-11-23
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Nov 2023Tue | 0.703% | 8.03% | 12.69 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 15 Dec 2023Fri | 0.735% | 10.27% | 12.48 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 19 Dec 2023Tue | 0.475% | 6.99% | 12.56 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Dec 2023Tue | 0.589% | 5.27% | 13.03 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2023-12-25
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 27 Dec 2023Wed | 0.416% | 6.81% | 12.99 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2023-12-25
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Dec 2023Thu | 0.480% | 5.51% | 12.43 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2023-12-25
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 23 Jan 2024Tue | 0.729% | 7.70% | 13.19 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Jan 2024Fri | 0.721% | 9.58% | 13.45 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 08 Feb 2024Thu | 0.495% | 7.37% | 12.83 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Feb 2024Mon | 0.513% | 8.60% | 13.75 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 27 Feb 2024Tue | 0.677% | 8.21% | 13.74 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Feb 2024Wed | 0.544% | 7.90% | 13.43 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 04 Mar 2024Mon | 0.509% | 7.92% | 13.11 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 22 Mar 2024Fri | 0.674% | 7.90% | 12.92 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Mar 2024Thu | 0.447% | 7.87% | 12.78 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2024-03-29
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 10 Apr 2024Wed | 0.677% | 15.86% | 14.98 |
On this date:CPI · 10 Apr 2024 · 08:30 ET
|
| 07 May 2024Tue | 0.542% | 7.43% | 13.49 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 09 May 2024Thu | 0.713% | 7.37% | 13.00 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 13 May 2024Mon | 0.550% | 6.20% | 12.55 |
Next releases:CPI · 15 May 2024 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 16 May 2024Thu | 0.636% | 7.12% | 12.45 |
Prior releases:CPI · 15 May 2024
|
| 17 May 2024Fri | 0.703% | 6.32% | 12.42 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 21 May 2024Tue | 0.695% | 5.23% | 12.15 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 May 2024Tue | 0.664% | 8.48% | 11.93 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2024-05-27
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 29 May 2024Wed | 0.637% | 8.30% | 12.92 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2024-05-27
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 06 Jun 2024Thu | 0.506% | 8.16% | 12.63 |
Next releases:NFP · 07 Jun 2024 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 14 Jun 2024Fri | 0.674% | 8.61% | 11.94 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 18 Jun 2024Tue | 0.509% | 7.51% | 12.75 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2024-06-19
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Jun 2024Wed | 0.583% | 10.18% | 12.84 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 08 Jul 2024Mon | 0.482% | 7.12% | 12.48 |
Prior releases:NFP · 05 Jul 2024
|
| 23 Sep 2024Mon | 0.526% | 9.85% | 16.15 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 25 Sep 2024Wed | 0.666% | 8.55% | 15.39 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 14 Oct 2024Mon | 0.720% | 7.07% | 20.46 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 18 Oct 2024Fri | 0.459% | 7.69% | 19.11 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 24 Oct 2024Thu | 0.723% | 9.79% | 19.24 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Oct 2024Mon | 0.686% | 9.40% | 20.33 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 08 Nov 2024Fri | 0.489% | 7.59% | 15.20 |
Prior releases:FOMC · 07 Nov 2024
|
| 26 Nov 2024Tue | 0.573% | 9.48% | 14.60 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2024-11-28
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 03 Dec 2024Tue | 0.735% | 7.15% | 13.34 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 05 Dec 2024Thu | 0.501% | 6.67% | 13.45 |
Next releases:NFP · 06 Dec 2024 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 12 Dec 2024Thu | 0.557% | 8.63% | 13.58 |
Prior releases:CPI · 11 Dec 2024
|
| 17 Dec 2024Tue | 0.625% | 9.91% | 14.69 |
Next releases:FOMC · 18 Dec 2024 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 10 Feb 2025Mon | 0.684% | 7.28% | 16.54 |
Prior releases:NFP · 07 Feb 2025
Next releases:CPI · 12 Feb 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 14 Feb 2025Fri | 0.591% | 7.04% | 15.10 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 18 Feb 2025Tue | 0.734% | 8.57% | 14.77 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2025-02-17
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 25 Mar 2025Tue | 0.651% | 8.67% | 17.48 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 14 May 2025Wed | 0.673% | 11.01% | 18.22 |
Prior releases:CPI · 13 May 2025
|
| 04 Jun 2025Wed | 0.733% | 8.49% | 17.69 |
Next releases:NFP · 06 Jun 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 06 Jun 2025Fri | 0.677% | 9.60% | 18.48 |
On this date:NFP · 06 Jun 2025 · 08:30 ET
|
| 09 Jun 2025Mon | 0.630% | 7.21% | 16.77 |
Prior releases:NFP · 06 Jun 2025
Next releases:CPI · 11 Jun 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 12 Jun 2025Thu | 0.716% | 8.80% | 17.26 |
Prior releases:CPI · 11 Jun 2025
|
| 25 Jun 2025Wed | 0.725% | 7.25% | 17.48 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 30 Jun 2025Mon | 0.688% | 7.19% | 16.32 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2025-07-04
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 08 Jul 2025Tue | 0.526% | 8.22% | 17.79 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 11 Jul 2025Fri | 0.676% | 7.67% | 15.78 |
Next releases:CPI · 15 Jul 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 18 Jul 2025Fri | 0.593% | 7.10% | 16.52 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 21 Jul 2025Mon | 0.712% | 5.27% | 16.41 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 24 Jul 2025Thu | 0.521% | 6.28% | 15.37 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 25 Jul 2025Fri | 0.606% | 4.87% | 15.39 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 28 Jul 2025Mon | 0.382% | 5.33% | 14.93 |
Next releases:FOMC · 30 Jul 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 14 Aug 2025Thu | 0.687% | 8.57% | 14.49 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 18 Aug 2025Mon | 0.438% | 7.25% | 15.09 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 25 Aug 2025Mon | 0.724% | 7.04% | 14.22 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Aug 2025Tue | 0.723% | 7.33% | 14.79 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 27 Aug 2025Wed | 0.706% | 6.48% | 14.62 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 08 Sep 2025Mon | 0.531% | 7.72% | 15.18 |
Prior releases:NFP · 05 Sep 2025
|
| 09 Sep 2025Tue | 0.673% | 6.99% | 15.11 |
Next releases:CPI · 11 Sep 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 11 Sep 2025Thu | 0.559% | 6.38% | 15.35 |
On this date:CPI · 11 Sep 2025 · 08:30 ET
|
| 12 Sep 2025Fri | 0.643% | 4.97% | 14.71 |
Prior releases:CPI · 11 Sep 2025
|
| 15 Sep 2025Mon | 0.594% | 5.05% | 14.76 |
Next releases:FOMC · 17 Sep 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 16 Sep 2025Tue | 0.400% | 4.73% | 15.69 |
Next releases:FOMC · 17 Sep 2025 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 19 Sep 2025Fri | 0.703% | 6.19% | 15.70 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 02 Oct 2025Thu | 0.697% | 7.73% | 16.29 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 06 Oct 2025Mon | 0.557% | 6.24% | 16.65 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 09 Oct 2025Thu | 0.675% | 7.97% | 16.30 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 21 Oct 2025Tue | 0.556% | 7.62% | 18.23 | No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 24 Oct 2025Fri | 0.534% | 6.89% | 17.30 |
On this date:CPI · 24 Oct 2025 · 08:30 ET
|
| 27 Oct 2025Mon | 0.724% | 5.43% | 16.37 |
Prior releases:CPI · 24 Oct 2025
Next releases:FOMC · 29 Oct 2025 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 22 Dec 2025Mon | 0.624% | 5.79% | 14.91 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2025-12-25
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 26 Dec 2025Fri | 0.380% | 5.14% | 13.47 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2025-12-25
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 29 Dec 2025Mon | 0.653% | 6.97% | 13.60 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2026-01-01
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 30 Dec 2025Tue | 0.478% | 5.33% | 14.20 |
Exchange holiday in this week: 2026-01-01
No nearby events in the checked calendar. |
| 05 Jan 2026Mon | 0.660% | 8.15% | 14.51 |
Next releases:JOLTS · 07 Jan 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 17 Mar 2026Tue | 0.668% | 10.28% | 23.51 |
Prior releases:IndProd · 16 Mar 2026
Next releases:PPI · 18 Mar 2026 (1 sessions ahead)FOMC · 18 Mar 2026 (1 sessions ahead)Claims · 19 Mar 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 10 Apr 2026Fri | 0.668% | 8.69% | 19.49 |
On this date:CPI · 10 Apr 2026 · 08:30 ET
Prior releases:Claims · 09 Apr 2026GDP · 09 Apr 2026PCE · 09 Apr 2026
Next releases:PPI · 14 Apr 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 27 Apr 2026Mon | 0.564% | 7.29% | 18.71 |
Next releases:Durables · 29 Apr 2026 (2 sessions ahead)HousingStarts · 29 Apr 2026 (2 sessions ahead)FOMC · 29 Apr 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 10 Aug 2026Mon | 0.601% | 8.89% | 14.90 |
Prior releases:NFP · 07 Aug 2026
Next releases:CPI · 12 Aug 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 12 Aug 2026Wed | 0.596% | 9.00% | 15.28 |
On this date:CPI · 12 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET
Next releases:Claims · 13 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)PPI · 13 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)RetailSales · 14 Aug 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 17 Aug 2026Mon | 0.724% | 7.19% | 14.25 |
Prior releases:RetailSales · 14 Aug 2026
Next releases:HousingStarts · 18 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)ImportPrices · 18 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)IndProd · 18 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 26 Aug 2026Wed | 0.713% | 8.46% | 15.45 |
On this date:Durables · 26 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ETGDP · 26 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ETPCE · 26 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ETProductivity · 26 Aug 2026 · 10:00 ET
Next releases:Claims · 27 Aug 2026 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 31 Aug 2026Mon | 0.618% | 9.34% | 14.43 |
Next releases:JOLTS · 01 Sep 2026 (1 sessions ahead)
|
| 02 Sep 2026Wed | 0.665% | 8.82% | 16.34 |
Prior releases:JOLTS · 01 Sep 2026
Next releases:Claims · 03 Sep 2026 (1 sessions ahead)Productivity · 03 Sep 2026 (1 sessions ahead)NFP · 04 Sep 2026 (2 sessions ahead)
|
| 10 Sep 2026Thu · anchor | 0.736% | 10.71% | 16.46 |
On this date:Claims · 10 Sep 2026 · 08:30 ETPPI · 10 Sep 2026 · 08:30 ET
Next releases:CPI · 11 Sep 2026 (1 sessions ahead)
Exchange holiday in this week: 2026-09-07
|
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