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Alcoa (AA): analyst forecast and price target

$41.45 +2.55% close 16.10.26 · market cap $10.6B · Basicmaterials · Aluminum
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Moderate Buy

4 Buy3 Hold1 Sell

Ratings of 8 analysts in the last 3 months · top analysts only

12-month forecast

$58.00+39.9% upside

Based on 8 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $58.00, the highest $80.00, the lowest $48.00. The average is +39.9% from the last price of $41.45.

$40.00$60.00$80.00Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$80.00Average$58.00Low$48.00
Highest target $80.00 Average target $58.00 Lowest target $48.00
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Lawson Winder★★★★★★★★★★#424 · hits 57% · avg +16.2% Bank of America Securities $51.00 → $48.00−5.9% Sell +15.8% Reiterated 16.10.26on TipRanks 06:35 +3.7%
Katja Jancic★★★★★★★★★★#397 · hits 73% · avg +30.1% BMO Capital $55.00 → $50.00−9.1% Hold +20.6% Reiterated 15.10.26on TipRanks Oct 16 09:35 +0.6%next day +3.7%
Bill Peterson★★★★★★★★★★#2254 · hits 49% · avg +6.9% J.P. Morgan $50.00 Hold +20.6% Reiterated 15.10.26on TipRanks Oct 16 07:55 +0.6%next day +3.7%
Timna Tanners★★★★★★★★★★#3057 · hits 55% · avg +4.1% Wells Fargo $60.00 → $58.00−3.3% Buy +39.9% Assigned 15.10.26on TipRanks Oct 16 05:12 +0.6%next day +3.7%
Richard Garchitorena★★★★★★★★★★#2557 · hits 59% · avg +9.1% Barclays $55.00 Buy +32.7% Initiated 14.10.26on TipRanks 04:50 −2.3%next day +0.6%
Bill Peterson★★★★★★★★★★#2254 · hits 49% · avg +6.9% J.P. Morgan $52.00 → $50.00−3.8% Hold +20.6% Assigned 07.10.26on TipRanks 07:15 −1.4%next day +1.2% · 5 days −4.7%
Carlos De Alba★★★★★★★★★★#697 · hits 57% · avg +16.1% Morgan Stanley $50.00 Hold +20.6% Reiterated 07.10.26on TipRanks 05:40 −1.4%next day +1.2% · 5 days −4.7%
Nick Giles★★★★★★★★★★#450 · hits 51% · avg +32.1% B. Riley Securities $80.00 Buy +93.0% Initiated 22.09.26on TipRanks 13:35 +0.2%next day −0.8% · 5 days −4.9%
Vitaly Kononov★★★★★★★★★★#6574 · hits 36% · avg +5.4% Freedom Capital Markets $64.00 → $76.00+18.8% Buy +83.4% Reiterated 22.09.26on TipRanks 10:10 +0.2%next day −0.8% · 5 days −4.9%
Timna Tanners★★★★★★★★★★#3057 · hits 55% · avg +4.1% Wells Fargo $71.00 → $60.00−15.5% Buy +44.8% Assigned 18.09.26on TipRanks 06:45 −5.5%next day −1.1% · 5 days −4.8%
Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★#479 · hits 67% · avg +19.1% Citi $76.00 Buy +83.4% Reiterated 11.09.26on TipRanks Sep 12 13:10 −0.9%next day −2.3% · 5 days −7.8%
Alexandra Yates★★★★★★★★★★#1237 · hits 85% · avg +33.3% Argus Research $73.00 → $55.00−24.7% Buy +32.7% Assigned 21.07.26on TipRanks Jul 24 05:13 +1.2%next day +4.2% · 5 days +1.0%
Katja Jancic★★★★★★★★★★#397 · hits 73% · avg +30.1% BMO Capital $60.00 → $55.00−8.3% Hold +32.7% Reiterated 17.07.26on TipRanks 07:35 −5.1%next day −1.0% · 5 days +1.2%
Lawson Winder★★★★★★★★★★#424 · hits 57% · avg +16.2% Bank of America Securities $51.00 Sell +23.0% Reiterated 17.07.26on TipRanks 07:31 −5.1%next day −1.0% · 5 days +1.2%
Daniel Major★★★★★★★★★★#449 · hits 64% · avg +20.8% UBS $80.00 → $68.00−15.0% Buy +64.1% Assigned 30.06.26on TipRanks 08:35 −3.3%next day −8.8% · 5 days −6.8%
Unknown Analyst Jefferies $82.00 Buy +97.8% Reiterated 17.04.26on TipRanks 10:00 −8.0%next day +1.6% · 5 days +0.1%

Every rating the collector has kept for the last 12 months, including the earlier ones of the same analyst. Latest of each analyst

Best analysts covering Alcoa

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%
1 year Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%
2 years Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%

Most profitable

3 months Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%
1 year Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%
2 years Alexander Hacking★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #479
Hits 67%152 of 228 Average return +19.1%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 07.10.26: target $61.78 at a price of $43.17 (+43.1%); now: $59.80 at $41.45 (+44.3%).

$40.00$50.00$60.00Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$58.00Average target$59.80Price$41.45

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend · top analysts

010201283Oct 251184Nov873Dec354Jan 26345Feb245Mar672Apr77May105Jun2673Jul2583Aug4193Sep2161Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy002242
Buy7106511
Hold757896
Sell003331

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 20.01.27 (Q4 2026, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $1.57 (from $1.19 to $2.04). Last quarter: $1.82.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $3.9B (from $3.7B to $4.0B). Last quarter: $3.7B.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Basicmaterials

HBMnot in our ETFs
KGCnot in our ETFs
USARUSA Rare Earth
SSRMSSR Mining
EQXnot in our ETFs
About Alcoa
  • CEO: William F. Oplinger
  • Employees: 14,900
  • 201 Isabella Street, Pittsburgh, PA, 15212-5858, US
  • www.alcoa.com

Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. Alcoa initiates its process with bauxite mining. This raw material is then refined into alumina, which is subsequently sold to customers for conversion into various industrial chemical products. Additionally, the company is involved in aluminum smelting and casting, supplying primary aluminum in forms like alloy or value-added ingots. These aluminum products cater to a diverse range of industries, including transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire manufacturing, and other industrial applications. Beyond its core metals business, Alcoa also operates hydroelectric power generation facilities. These plants generate and sell electricity into the wholesale market, serving a wide array of clients, from traders and large industrial consumers to distribution companies and other power generators. Founded in 1888, the company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It officially adopted the name Alcoa Corporation in October 2016, prior to which it was known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation.

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 3 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗