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Advance Auto Parts (AAP): analyst forecast and price target
Analyst consensus
Hold1 Buy14 Hold2 Sell
Ratings of 17 analysts in the last 3 months12-month forecast
Based on 17 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $49.67, the highest $70.00, the lowest $40.00. The average is +11.7% from the last price of $44.45.
Analyst ratings 21
| Analyst | Firm | Price target | Rating | Upside | Action | Date | Move vs SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Melich★★★★★★★★★★#1504 · hits 60% · avg +9.0% | Evercore ISI | $50.00 → $45.00−10.0% | Hold | +1.2% | Reiterated | 06.10.26on TipRanks 08:30 | +3.5%next day +0.1% · 5 days +2.3% | ↗ |
| AI PerPlexity Specialty RetailPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $42.00 → $38.00−9.5% | Hold | −14.5% | Reiterated | 01.10.26on TipRanks 03:05 | — | |
| Zachary Fadem★★★★★★★★★★#5702 · hits 54% · avg +0.9% | Wells Fargo | $50.00 | Hold | +12.5% | Reiterated | 28.09.26on TipRanks 06:55 | −4.0%next day +0.1% · 5 days −1.5% | ↗ |
| Scot Ciccarelli★★★★★★★★★★#218 · hits 68% · avg +14.8% | Truist Financial | — | Hold | — | Reiterated | 09.09.26on TipRanks 08:45 | +2.4%next day +0.4% · 5 days −2.3% | ↗ |
| AI DeepSeek Specialty RetailDeepSeek V3.2-Speciale | TipRanks - DeepSeek | $42.00 | Hold | −5.5% | Reiterated | 22.08.26on TipRanks 10:07 | — | |
| AI xAi Specialty RetailxAI Grok-4 | TipRanks - xAI | $43.00 | Hold | −3.3% | Reiterated | 22.08.26on TipRanks 09:05 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Specialty RetailOpenAI 5.2 | TipRanks - OpenAI | $42.00 | Hold | −5.5% | Reiterated | 22.08.26on TipRanks 09:05 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Specialty RetailAnthropic Opus-4.6 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $40.00 → $41.00+2.5% | Hold | −7.8% | Reiterated | 22.08.26on TipRanks 09:05 | — | |
| AI Google Specialty RetailGemini 3.1Pro | TipRanks - Google | $42.00 | Hold | −5.5% | Reiterated | 22.08.26on TipRanks 09:05 | — | |
| Unknown Analyst | Jefferies | $70.00 | Buy | +57.5% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 09:35 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Simeon Gutman★★★★★★★★★★#2057 · hits 58% · avg +4.5% | Morgan Stanley | $65.00 → $52.00−20.0% | Hold | +17.0% | Assigned | 21.08.26on TipRanks 08:30 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Christopher Horvers★★★★★★★★★★#806 · hits 61% · avg +8.7% | J.P. Morgan | $65.00 → $55.00−15.4% | Hold | +23.7% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 07:40 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Tristan M. Thomas-Martin★★★★★★★★★★#11114 · hits 40% · avg −3.9% | BMO Capital | $65.00 → $50.00−23.1% | Hold | +12.5% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 07:20 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Michael Lasser★★★★★★★★★★#195 · hits 68% · avg +16.4% | UBS | $65.00 → $47.00−27.7% | Hold | +5.7% | Assigned | 21.08.26on TipRanks 06:50 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Kate McShane★★★★★★★★★★#2266 · hits 56% · avg +4.4% | Goldman Sachs | $54.00 → $40.00−25.9% | Sell | −10.0% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 06:36 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Steven Zaccone★★★★★★★★★★#7822 · hits 48% · avg +0.2% | Citi | $57.00 → $45.00−21.1% | Hold | +1.2% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 06:27 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Michael Baker★★★★★★★★★★#1121 · hits 58% · avg +8.1% | D.A. Davidson | $58.00 → $48.00−17.2% | Hold | +8.0% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 20:35 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Scott Stember★★★★★★★★★★#3320 · hits 51% · avg +5.0% | Roth MKM | $48.00 | Hold | +8.0% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 07:55 | −23.7%next day 0.0% · 5 days +1.9% | ↗ |
| Robert Ohmes★★★★★★★★★★#1902 · hits 53% · avg +5.8% | Bank of America Securities | $48.00 | Sell | +8.0% | Reiterated | 20.08.26on TipRanks Aug 21 06:42 | −23.7%next day 0.0% · 5 days +1.9% | ↗ |
| Steven Shemesh★★★★★★★★★★#7590 · hits 50% · avg +0.2% | RBC Capital | $67.00 → $52.00−22.4% | Hold | +17.0% | Assigned | 20.08.26on TipRanks Aug 21 06:42 | −23.7%next day 0.0% · 5 days +1.9% | ↗ |
| Seth Sigman★★★★★★★★★★#12066 · hits 52% · avg −5.6% | Barclays | $59.00 → $50.00−15.3% | Hold | +12.5% | Reiterated | 20.08.26on TipRanks Aug 21 04:27 | −23.7%next day 0.0% · 5 days +1.9% | ↗ |
| Max Rakhlenko★★★★★★★★★★#3845 · hits 52% · avg +3.3% | TD Cowen | $61.00 → $45.00−26.2% | Hold | +1.2% | Assigned | 20.08.26on TipRanks 17:45 | 0.0%next day +2.8% · 5 days +0.3% | ↗ |
| Phillip Blee★★★★★★★★★★#2703 · hits 57% · avg +7.6% | William Blair | — | Hold | — | Reiterated | 20.08.26on TipRanks 09:15 | −23.7%next day 0.0% · 5 days +1.9% | ↗ |
| Bill Selesky★★★★★★★★★★#1503 · hits 60% · avg +7.8% | Argus Research | — | Hold | — | Reiterated | 10.06.26on TipRanks Jun 11 11:45 | +0.4%next day +0.4% · 5 days −4.3% | ↗ |
| Unknown Analyst | Guggenheim | — | Hold | — | Reiterated | 27.05.26on TipRanks May 31 10:02 | +5.7%next day +2.2% · 5 days −2.5% | ↗ |
| David Bellinger★★★★★★★★★★#6513 · hits 45% · avg +1.1% | Mizuho Securities | $58.00 | Hold | +30.5% | Reiterated | 25.05.26on TipRanks 10:25 | −5.5%next day +5.7% · 5 days +3.4% | ↗ |
| Aaron Reed★★★★★★★★★★#7026 · hits 50% · avg +11.4% | Northcoast Research | $55.00 | Buy | +23.7% | Upgrade | 21.01.26on TipRanks 08:00 | +9.1%next day 0.0% · 5 days +7.5% | ↗ |
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The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included
Best analysts covering Advance Auto Parts
TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.
Most accurate
Most profitable
How the average price target moved
The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $51.00 at a price of $38.91 (+31.1%); now: $49.67 at $44.45 (+11.7%).
PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target
Recommendation trend
Strong BuyBuyHoldSell
| Rating | 05.26 | 06.26 | 07.26 | 08.26 | 09.26 | 10.26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hold | 24 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| Sell | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Earnings and sales forecast
Next report: 05.11.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)
Earnings per share
Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $0.78 (from $0.52 to $1.03). Last quarter: $1.03.
Sales
Next quarter’s sales estimate — $2.0B (from $2.0B to $2.1B). Last quarter: $2.0B.
Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumercyclical
About Advance Auto Parts
- CEO: Shane O'Kelly
- Employees: 54,007
- 4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, 27609, US
- shop.advanceautoparts.com
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and supplier of a comprehensive array of automotive replacement components, accessories, batteries, and essential maintenance supplies. Its extensive inventory caters to a wide spectrum of vehicles, including domestic and imported passenger cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and both light and heavy-duty trucks. The company's product offering is broad, encompassing critical mechanical systems such as brakes, engine parts, electrical and ignition components, cooling and heating systems, chassis, clutches, and exhaust systems. Beyond these core parts, it provides a diverse selection of accessories, specialty tools, interior and exterior enhancements, lighting products, performance upgrades, and a variety of chemicals, sealants, and cleaning supplies. Furthermore, Advance Auto Parts stocks all necessary fluids and filters for engine and transmission maintenance, including motor oils, lubricants, fuel additives, and air, fuel, and oil filters. In addition to product sales, the company supports its clientele with various services like battery and wiper installation, diagnostic engine light scanning, electrical system testing, oil and battery recycling, and a convenient loaner tool program. Products are accessible to both professional automotive technicians and do-it-yourself (DIY) enthusiasts through its physical store network and online platform. Advance Auto Parts operates stores under well-known banners such as Advance Auto Parts, Autopart International, and Carquest, along with Worldpac-branded branches. As of April 23, 2022, its expansive operational footprint included 4,687 company-owned stores and 311 branches situated across the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada. The company also supplied 1,318 independently owned Carquest-branded stores located in Mexico, Grand Cayman, the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and the British Virgin Islands. Founded in 1929, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. main
Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 49 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗