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Alibaba (BABA): analyst forecast and price target

$109 −1.82% close 16.10.26 · market cap $271B · Consumercyclical · Specialty Retail
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Strong Buy

4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Ratings of 4 analysts in the last 3 months · top analysts only

12-month forecast

$193+76.5% upside

Based on 4 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $193, the highest $220, the lowest $160. The average is +76.5% from the last price of $109.

$100$150$200Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$220Average$193Low$160
Highest target $220 Average target $193 Lowest target $160
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Alex Yao★★★★★★★★★★#4725 · hits 41% · avg +2.5% J.P. Morgan $210 → $200−4.8% Buy +83.3% Reiterated 12.10.26on TipRanks Oct 13 08:14 −0.5%next day +0.1%
Jiong Shao★★★★★★★★★★#2589 · hits 46% · avg +5.6% Barclays $200 Buy +83.3% Reiterated 09.10.26on TipRanks Oct 12 05:07 +4.8%next day −0.5% · 5 days −0.1%
Joyce Ju★★★★★★★★★★#3202 · hits 49% · avg +7.5% Bank of America Securities $175 → $178+1.7% Buy +63.1% Reiterated 09.10.26on TipRanks 04:50 +4.8%next day −0.5% · 5 days −0.1%
Alicia Yap★★★★★★★★★★#3994 · hits 43% · avg +2.9% Citi $190 → $193+1.6% Buy +76.9% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks 08:15 −0.8%next day +4.8% · 5 days +5.4%
Gary Yu★★★★★★★★★★#10797 · hits 39% · avg −3.8% Morgan Stanley $180 Buy +65.0% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks 06:30 −0.8%next day +4.8% · 5 days +5.4%
Andy Yu CFA★★★★★★★★★★#11620 · hits 32% · avg −5.5% DBS $204 → $207+1.5% Buy +89.7% Reiterated 23.09.26on TipRanks Sep 22 21:25 −4.0%next day −0.1% · 5 days −2.3%
Robin Zhu★★★★★★★★★★#4123 · hits 48% · avg +4.2% Bernstein $165 Buy +51.2% Reiterated 22.09.26on TipRanks 08:40 +0.5%next day −4.0% · 5 days −6.2%
Kenneth Fong★★★★★★★★★★#9946 · hits 32% · avg −1.5% UBS $206 Buy +88.8% Reiterated 22.09.26on TipRanks 06:05 +0.5%next day −4.0% · 5 days −6.2%
Shyam Patil★★★★★★★★★★#779 · hits 56% · avg +10.4% Susquehanna $185 → $190+2.7% Buy +74.1% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks 08:30 +2.5%next day −3.8% · 5 days −4.9%
Saiyi He★★★★★★★★★★#1586 · hits 52% · avg +8.2% CMB International Securities $220 Buy +101.7% Reiterated 21.08.26on TipRanks Aug 24 10:45 −9.0%next day −0.4% · 5 days −0.8%
Colin Sebastian★★★★★★★★★★#1201 · hits 54% · avg +8.4% Robert W. Baird $164 → $160−2.4% Buy +46.6% Reiterated 21.08.26on TipRanks 07:25 −9.0%next day −0.4% · 5 days −0.8%
Wei Fang★★★★★★★★★★#5545 · hits 49% · avg +3.3% Mizuho Securities — Buy — Reiterated 20.08.26on TipRanks Aug 21 08:55 +2.1%next day −9.0% · 5 days −12.0%
John Choi★★★★★★★★★★#6741 · hits 41% · avg +1.6% Daiwa $200 → $175−12.5% Buy +60.4% Reiterated 24.06.26on TipRanks 05:50 −2.7%next day −4.9% · 5 days −3.5%
Ronald Keung★★★★★★★★★★#11097 · hits 41% · avg −3.6% Goldman Sachs $186 Buy +70.5% Reiterated 19.05.26on TipRanks May 20 08:35 +2.5%next day −1.9% · 5 days −8.1%
Fawne Jiang★★★★★★★★★★#651 · hits 51% · avg +13.4% Benchmark Co. $220 Buy +101.6% Reiterated 12.05.26on TipRanks May 13 07:50 −1.7%next day +7.6% · 5 days +1.2%
Unknown Analyst Exane BNP Paribas $209 Buy +91.5% Initiated 29.04.26on TipRanks May 1 12:07 −0.3%next day +0.1% · 5 days +5.3%
Unknown Analyst Freedom Capital Markets $180 → $190+5.6% Buy +74.1% Upgrade 24.04.26on TipRanks Apr 25 12:08 +2.4%next day −2.6% · 5 days −4.1%
Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★#1058 · hits 51% · avg +10.2% Jefferies $212 → $185−12.7% Buy +69.6% Reiterated 08.04.26on TipRanks 06:30 +2.1%next day +1.3% · 5 days +2.8%
Markus Leistner★★★★★★★★★★#1603 · hits 60% · avg +20.6% DZ BANK AG $135 Hold +23.7% Downgrade 20.03.26on TipRanks 11:55 −0.6%next day +1.9% · 5 days +2.5%
Bo Pei CFA★★★★★★★★★★#12191 · hits 29% · avg −16.1% US Tiger Securities $175 Buy +60.4% Upgrade 19.03.26on TipRanks 12:15 −6.8%next day −0.6% · 5 days +2.4%
Stephan Lingnau★★★★★★★★★★#3694 · hits 58% · avg +9.1% Erste Group — Hold — Downgrade 18.02.26on TipRanks 09:45 −0.3%next day −0.7% · 5 days −3.2%
Unknown Analyst Aletheia Capital — Buy — Reiterated 04.02.26on TipRanks 13:05 −2.3%next day +0.4% · 5 days +2.4%
Shawn Yang★★★★★★★★★★#10887 · hits 25% · avg −10.5% Arete Research $172 → $190+10.5% Buy +74.1% Upgrade 20.01.26on TipRanks 18:40 +2.7%next day +4.5% · 5 days +2.7%
Ellie Jiang★★★★★★★★★★#3318 · hits 48% · avg +5.5% Macquarie $235 → $219−6.8% Buy +100.5% Reiterated 25.11.25on TipRanks 15:00 −3.3%next day −0.3% · 5 days −0.6%

The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included

Best analysts covering Alibaba

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%
1 year Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%
2 years Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%

Most profitable

3 months Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%
1 year Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%
2 years Thomas Chong★★★★★★★★★★Jefferies · #1058
Hits 51%256 of 499 Average return +10.2%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 08.10.26: target $191 at a price of $107 (+78.9%); now: $191 at $109 (+74.9%).

$125$150$175Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$193Average target$191Price$109

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend · top analysts

01020181Oct 25201Nov9Dec5Jan 2621Feb342Mar442Apr661May34Jun32Jul41Aug51Sep51Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy633455
Buy642111
Hold100000
Sell000000

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 01.12.26 (Q2 2027, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $1.61 (from $1.28 to $2.12). Last quarter: $1.27.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $40.4B (from $39.6B to $41.5B). Last quarter: $39.5B.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumercyclical

WYNNWynn Resorts
SWSmurfit Westrock
MODModine
SGISomnigroup International
RLRalph Lauren
About Alibaba
  • CEO: Yongming Wu
  • Employees: 132,165
  • 969 West Wen Yi Road, Hangzhou, ZH, 311121, CN
  • www.alibabagroup.com

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its various subsidiaries, furnishes crucial technological infrastructure and extensive marketing channels. This comprehensive support allows merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to effectively engage with their customer base, both within the People's Republic of China and across international markets. The company's operations are organized across seven primary segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao (its logistics network), Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company's extensive digital ecosystem features premier online retail platforms like Taobao and Tmall. Wholesale business-to-business transactions are facilitated through 1688.com and Alibaba.com. Globally, it operates retail platforms such as AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz. For fresh goods and groceries, it offers Freshippo, and Tmall Global specializes in import e-commerce. Monetization and advertising solutions are provided via Alimama, its proprietary platform, which offers diverse marketing services including pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display ads, supported by the Taobao Ad Network and Exchange for real-time bidding. Logistics operations are primarily handled by the Cainiao Network. Its local consumer services encompass Ele.me for on-demand food and delivery, Koubei for restaurant and local service directories, and Fliggy for travel booking. Alibaba Cloud offers a wide array of services, including elastic computing, data storage, networking, security, database management, big data analytics, and Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. It also supplies hardware, software licenses, installation, and application development and maintenance. The digital media and entertainment division includes Youku, an online video platform; Quark, an information search and content consumption tool; and Alibaba Pictures, collectively offering diverse content span

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 12 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗