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Cheesecake Factory (CAKE): analyst forecast and price target

$115 −1.43% close 16.10.26 · market cap $5.6B · Consumercyclical · Restaurants IWM 0.19%
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Hold

4 Buy9 Hold1 Sell

Ratings of 14 analysts in the last 3 months

12-month forecast

$101−12.4% downside

Based on 14 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $101, the highest $128, the lowest $60.00. The average is −12.4% from the last price of $115.

$50.00$75.00$100$125Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$128Average$101Low$60.00
Highest target $128 Average target $101 Lowest target $60.00
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Jim Salera★★★★★★★★★★#11939 · hits 35% · avg −10.2% Stephens $93.00 → $100+7.5% Hold −13.0% Reiterated 15.10.26on TipRanks 07:55 +3.0%next day −0.3%
Jon Tower★★★★★★★★★★#1450 · hits 57% · avg +9.8% Citi $104 → $128+23.1% Buy +11.4% Reiterated 15.10.26on TipRanks 06:40 +3.0%next day −0.3%
Brian Harbour★★★★★★★★★★#10941 · hits 49% · avg −2.3% Morgan Stanley $87.00 → $80.00−8.0% Hold −30.4% Assigned 15.10.26on TipRanks 06:40 +3.0%next day −0.3%
Brian Bittner★★★★★★★★★★#1132 · hits 61% · avg +7.0% Oppenheimer $101 → $122+20.8% Buy +6.2% Reiterated 06.10.26on TipRanks 07:40 −1.3%next day −0.9% · 5 days +4.0%
Zachary Fadem★★★★★★★★★★#5702 · hits 54% · avg +0.9% Wells Fargo $90.00 → $105+16.7% Hold −8.6% Assigned 15.09.26on TipRanks 06:26 −7.6%next day +0.7% · 5 days +4.2%
Sara Senatore★★★★★★★★★★#9103 · hits 47% · avg −0.1% Bank of America Securities $98.00 → $117+19.4% Hold +1.8% Reiterated 10.09.26on TipRanks 06:15 −1.8%next day +0.7% · 5 days −5.9%
John Ivankoe★★★★★★★★★★#659 · hits 63% · avg +11.5% J.P. Morgan $92.00 → $105+14.1% Hold −8.6% Reiterated 26.08.26on TipRanks 08:30 +1.6%next day −5.2% · 5 days −5.8%
Chris O`Cull★★★★★★★★★★#1070 · hits 54% · avg +9.1% Stifel Nicolaus $90.00 → $105+16.7% Hold −8.6% Reiterated 24.08.26on TipRanks Aug 25 21:09 +1.4%next day −1.3% · 5 days −4.9%
Unknown Analyst Freedom Capital Markets $68.00 → $95.00+39.7% Hold −17.3% Reiterated 29.07.26on TipRanks Sep 30 21:09 +15.2%next day −1.5% · 5 days −1.4%
Christine Dooley★★★★★★★★★★#2411 · hits 72% · avg +16.0% Argus Research $72.00 → $110+52.8% Buy −4.3% Reiterated 29.07.26on TipRanks Jul 30 08:50 +15.2%next day −1.5% · 5 days −1.4%
Nick Setyan★★★★★★★★★★#740 · hits 54% · avg +11.7% Mizuho Securities $85.00 → $93.00+9.4% Hold −19.1% Reiterated 29.07.26on TipRanks 07:52 +15.2%next day −1.5% · 5 days −1.4%
Dennis Geiger★★★★★★★★★★#6791 · hits 51% · avg +0.7% UBS $60.00 Sell −47.8% Reiterated 29.07.26on TipRanks 06:51 +15.2%next day −1.5% · 5 days −1.4%
Sharon Zackfia★★★★★★★★★★#4054 · hits 44% · avg +3.0% William Blair — Buy — Reiterated 29.07.26on TipRanks 03:55 +15.2%next day −1.5% · 5 days −1.4%
Andy Barish★★★★★★★★★★#1254 · hits 54% · avg +8.1% Jefferies $75.00 → $88.00+17.3% Hold −23.4% Downgrade 28.07.26on TipRanks Jul 29 05:31 +2.0%next day +15.2% · 5 days +14.8%
Unknown Analyst CFRA — Hold — Downgrade 25.06.26on TipRanks Jun 28 00:05 +1.0%next day +2.4% · 5 days −1.3%
Jim Sanderson★★★★★★★★★★#3664 · hits 64% · avg +8.5% Northcoast Research $76.00 Hold −33.9% Downgrade 15.06.26on TipRanks 07:11 −3.8%next day −0.1% · 5 days +7.0%
Lauren Silberman★★★★★★★★★★#1006 · hits 67% · avg +11.3% Deutsche Bank $67.00 → $68.00+1.5% Hold −40.8% Reiterated 30.04.26on TipRanks 09:07 −0.7%next day −4.5% · 5 days −5.1%
Brian Vaccaro★★★★★★★★★★#2106 · hits 50% · avg +6.0% Raymond James — Hold — Reiterated 30.04.26on TipRanks 08:55 −0.7%next day −4.5% · 5 days −5.1%
Jeff Bernstein★★★★★★★★★★#7710 · hits 53% · avg +0.1% Barclays $58.00 → $60.00+3.4% Sell −47.8% Reiterated 30.04.26on TipRanks 04:55 −0.7%next day −4.5% · 5 days −5.1%
David Tarantino★★★★★★★★★★#886 · hits 60% · avg +9.2% KeyBanc $64.00 → $57.00−10.9% Hold −50.4% Reiterated 29.10.25on TipRanks Oct 30 10:25 −7.3%next day −1.4% · 5 days −2.9%

The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included

Best analysts covering Cheesecake Factory

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months Jon Tower★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #1450
Hits 57%147 of 260 Average return +9.8%
1 year Sharon Zackfia★★★★★★★★★★William Blair · #4054
Hits 44%159 of 360 Average return +3.0%
2 years Sharon Zackfia★★★★★★★★★★William Blair · #4054
Hits 44%159 of 360 Average return +3.0%

Most profitable

3 months Jon Tower★★★★★★★★★★Citi · #1450
Hits 57%147 of 260 Average return +9.8%
1 year Sharon Zackfia★★★★★★★★★★William Blair · #4054
Hits 44%159 of 360 Average return +3.0%
2 years Sharon Zackfia★★★★★★★★★★William Blair · #4054
Hits 44%159 of 360 Average return +3.0%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $96.62 at a price of $105 (−8.2%); now: $101 at $115 (−12.4%).

$100$110Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$107Average target$101Price$115

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend

010201168Oct 25857Nov978Dec264Jan 26897Feb776Mar13106Apr793May7113Jun5172Jul5172Aug5172Sep26Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy000000
Buy775552
Hold9111717176
Sell332220

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 27.10.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $0.91 (from $0.81 to $1.10). Last quarter: $1.44.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $995M (from $983M to $1.0B). Last quarter: $1.0B.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumercyclical

WYNNWynn Resorts
SWSmurfit Westrock
MODModine
SGISomnigroup International
RLRalph Lauren
About Cheesecake Factory

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants. The company also maintains two bakeries that produce its signature cheesecakes and other baked goods. These products are distributed to its own restaurant network, international licensees, external foodservice operators, third-party bakery customers, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory operates 306 restaurants across the United States and Canada, featuring brands such as 208 The Cheesecake Factory locations, 29 North Italia outlets, and various Fox Restaurant Concepts. Furthermore, 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants are run internationally under licensing agreements. Founded in 1972, the company's headquarters are located in Calabasas, California.

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 14 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗