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Churchill Downs (CHDN): analyst forecast and price target
Analyst consensus
Strong Buy11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Ratings of 11 analysts in the last 3 months12-month forecast
Based on 11 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $125, the highest $145, the lowest $100. The average is +53.4% from the last price of $81.70.
Analyst ratings 11
| Analyst | Firm | Price target | Rating | Upside | Action | Date | Move vs SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bender★★★★★★★★★★#7936 · hits 42% · avg +0.1% | Citizens JMP | $137 → $131−4.4% | Buy | +60.3% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 06:00 | +0.7%next day −0.2% | ↗ |
| Brandt Montour★★★★★★★★★★#1572 · hits 51% · avg +6.9% | Barclays | $132 | Buy | +61.6% | Reiterated | 09.10.26on TipRanks 04:50 | +4.4%next day +0.7% · 5 days +4.1% | ↗ |
| Benjamin Chaiken★★★★★★★★★★#2796 · hits 52% · avg +4.2% | Mizuho Securities | $157 → $125−20.4% | Buy | +53.0% | Reiterated | 07.10.26on TipRanks 07:26 | −5.2%next day +3.4% · 5 days +9.2% | ↗ |
| AI xAi Gambling Resorts and CasinosxAI Grok-4 | TipRanks - xAI | $91.00 | Buy | +11.4% | Reiterated | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| AI DeepSeek Gambling Resorts and CasinosDeepSeek V3.2-Speciale | TipRanks - DeepSeek | $90.00 → $87.00−3.3% | Hold | +6.5% | Downgrade | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Gambling Resorts and CasinosOpenAI 5.2 | TipRanks - OpenAI | $89.00 → $87.00−2.2% | Hold | +6.5% | Downgrade | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Gambling Resorts and CasinosAnthropic Opus-4.6 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $85.00 → $83.00−2.4% | Hold | +1.6% | Reiterated | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| AI Google Gambling Resorts and CasinosGemini 3.1Pro | TipRanks - Google | $90.00 → $89.00−1.1% | Buy | +8.9% | Reiterated | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| AI PerPlexity Gambling Resorts and CasinosPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $90.00 | Buy | +10.2% | Reiterated | 29.09.26on TipRanks Sep 28 23:05 | — | |
| Peter Supino★★★★★★★★★★#1845 · hits 60% · avg +13.7% | Wolfe Research | $119 | Buy | +45.7% | Initiated | 02.09.26on TipRanks 06:30 | +2.5%next day +0.2% · 5 days −6.3% | ↗ |
| Daniel Politzer★★★★★★★★★★#1968 · hits 52% · avg +6.8% | J.P. Morgan | $123 | Buy | +50.6% | Reiterated | 04.08.26on TipRanks Aug 5 08:08 | +0.4%next day +1.4% · 5 days +3.9% | ↗ |
| Shaun Kelley★★★★★★★★★★#3865 · hits 51% · avg +2.6% | Bank of America Securities | $110 → $100−9.1% | Buy | +22.4% | Reiterated | 03.08.26on TipRanks 07:11 | −2.4%next day +0.4% · 5 days +1.4% | ↗ |
| David Katz★★★★★★★★★★#1797 · hits 47% · avg +6.8% | Jefferies | $135 → $124−8.1% | Buy | +51.8% | Reiterated | 31.07.26on TipRanks 11:26 | +1.2%next day −2.4% · 5 days +0.7% | ↗ |
| Joseph Stauff★★★★★★★★★★#1046 · hits 55% · avg +14.8% | Susquehanna | $121 → $124+2.5% | Buy | +51.8% | Reiterated | 31.07.26on TipRanks 08:02 | +1.2%next day −2.4% · 5 days +0.7% | ↗ |
| Trey Bowers★★★★★★★★★★#11071 · hits 48% · avg −4.7% | Wells Fargo | $120 → $117−2.5% | Buy | +43.2% | Reiterated | 31.07.26on TipRanks 07:36 | +1.2%next day −2.4% · 5 days +0.7% | ↗ |
| Barry Jonas★★★★★★★★★★#4063 · hits 45% · avg +2.6% | Truist Financial | $145 | Buy | +77.5% | Reiterated | 31.07.26on TipRanks Jul 30 09:45 | −8.3%next day +1.2% · 5 days +1.4% | ↗ |
| Jeffrey Stantial★★★★★★★★★★#11935 · hits 33% · avg −6.8% | Stifel Nicolaus | $139 | Buy | +70.1% | Reiterated | 31.07.26on TipRanks Jul 30 07:36 | −8.3%next day +1.2% · 5 days +1.4% | ↗ |
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The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included
Best analysts covering Churchill Downs
TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.
Most accurate
Most profitable
How the average price target moved
The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 07.10.26: target $126 at a price of $78.21 (+61.0%); now: $125 at $81.70 (+53.4%).
PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target
Recommendation trend
Strong BuyBuyHoldSell
| Rating | 05.26 | 06.26 | 07.26 | 08.26 | 09.26 | 10.26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Buy | 15 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| Hold | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Earnings and sales forecast
Next report: 28.10.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)
Earnings per share
Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $1.18 (from $0.70 to $1.42). Last quarter: $3.45.
Sales
Next quarter’s sales estimate — $699M (from $685M to $718M). Last quarter: $980M.
Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumercyclical
About Churchill Downs
- CEO: William C. Carstanjen
- Employees: 7,800
- 600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Louisville, KY, 40222, US
- www.churchilldownsincorporated.com
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CDI) is a leading U.S. entertainment enterprise focused on horse racing, online wagering, and general gaming activities. Its extensive operations are categorized into three main divisions: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. As of December 31, 2021, CDI's portfolio included three pari-mutuel gaming venues in Kentucky, collectively featuring approximately 3,050 historical racing machines. The company also operates TwinSpires, a comprehensive digital platform offering betting on horse races, sports, and iGaming. Furthermore, CDI manages nine brick-and-mortar sportsbooks and runs casino gaming across eight states, housing around 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals, in addition to 200 table games. Beyond these core ventures, Churchill Downs Incorporated delivers streaming video of live horse races and replays, along with a wide array of racing and handicapping information. It also oversees the Bloodstock Research Information Services (BRIS) platform, a valuable source for horse racing statistical data. The company is additionally engaged in designing and deploying pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and various other wagering enterprises. Established in 1875, Churchill Downs Incorporated is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 16 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗