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Dollar Tree (DLTR): analyst forecast and price target

$124 −0.18% close 16.10.26 · market cap $23.3B · Consumerdefensive · Discount Stores SPY 0.04%
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Moderate Buy

9 Buy7 Hold2 Sell

Ratings of 18 analysts in the last 3 months

12-month forecast

$139+11.7% upside

Based on 18 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $139, the highest $170, the lowest $98.00. The average is +11.7% from the last price of $124.

$100$125$150Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$170Average$139Low$98.00
Highest target $170 Average target $139 Lowest target $98.00
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Zhihan Ma★★★★★★★★★★#4434 · hits 52% · avg +4.2% Bernstein $130 Hold +4.7% Reiterated 15.10.26on TipRanks Oct 16 05:25 +1.9%next day +0.9%
Anthony Chukumba★★★★★★★★★★#499 · hits 67% · avg +12.8% Loop Capital Markets $130 → $140+7.7% Buy +12.7% Upgrade 01.10.26on TipRanks 05:20 +0.2%next day −2.7% · 5 days +2.4%
Michael Montani★★★★★★★★★★#5031 · hits 53% · avg +3.1% Evercore ISI $140 → $135−3.6% Hold +8.7% Reiterated 29.09.26on TipRanks 08:01 −2.2%next day +0.8% · 5 days +0.6%
Edward Kelly★★★★★★★★★★#423 · hits 67% · avg +11.1% Wells Fargo $155 Buy +24.8% Reiterated 21.09.26on TipRanks 10:16 −1.2%next day +2.4% · 5 days +4.3%
Seth Sigman★★★★★★★★★★#12066 · hits 52% · avg −5.6% Barclays $160 Buy +28.8% Reiterated 08.09.26on TipRanks 05:20 −5.1%next day −4.1% · 5 days −8.0%
Peter Keith★★★★★★★★★★#1599 · hits 49% · avg +7.2% Piper Sandler $114 → $121+6.1% Hold −2.6% Reiterated 31.08.26on TipRanks 07:35 −1.0%next day +4.7% · 5 days −1.9%
Matthew Boss★★★★★★★★★★#1141 · hits 56% · avg +8.0% J.P. Morgan $170 Buy +36.9% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks Aug 31 02:45 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Kate McShane★★★★★★★★★★#2266 · hits 56% · avg +4.4% Goldman Sachs $125 → $131+4.8% Hold +5.5% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks Aug 30 13:30 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Simeon Gutman★★★★★★★★★★#2057 · hits 58% · avg +4.5% Morgan Stanley $130 → $145+11.5% Hold +16.8% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks 08:00 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Michael Lasser★★★★★★★★★★#195 · hits 68% · avg +16.4% UBS $145 → $150+3.4% Buy +20.8% Assigned 28.08.26on TipRanks 07:14 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Kelly Bania★★★★★★★★★★#863 · hits 68% · avg +9.0% BMO Capital $98.00 Sell −21.1% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks 07:14 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Bobby Griffin★★★★★★★★★★#481 · hits 61% · avg +17.5% Raymond James $140 → $145+3.6% Buy +16.8% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks 06:16 +1.2%next day −1.0% · 5 days +2.4%
Joe Feldman★★★★★★★★★★#1642 · hits 54% · avg +6.6% Telsey Advisory $150 Buy +20.8% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks Aug 27 10:11 −4.6%next day +1.2% · 5 days +2.9%
Scot Ciccarelli★★★★★★★★★★#218 · hits 68% · avg +14.8% Truist Financial $138 → $147+6.5% Buy +18.4% Reiterated 28.08.26on TipRanks Aug 25 08:10 −2.0%next day −1.7% · 5 days −1.5%
John Heinbockel★★★★★★★★★★#753 · hits 65% · avg +12.0% Guggenheim $145 Buy +16.8% Reiterated 27.08.26on TipRanks Aug 28 07:14 −4.6%next day +1.2% · 5 days +2.9%
Robert Ohmes★★★★★★★★★★#1902 · hits 53% · avg +5.8% Bank of America Securities $100 Sell −19.5% Reiterated 27.08.26on TipRanks Aug 28 06:35 −4.6%next day +1.2% · 5 days +2.9%
Rupesh Parikh★★★★★★★★★★#487 · hits 62% · avg +11.8% Oppenheimer — Hold — Reiterated 21.08.26on TipRanks 08:50 +2.0%next day +4.3% · 5 days −2.9%
Corey Tarlowe★★★★★★★★★★#323 · hits 65% · avg +19.3% Jefferies $85.00 → $135+58.8% Hold +8.7% Upgrade 19.08.26on TipRanks 05:16 +0.8%next day −1.7% · 5 days +0.6%
Charles Grom★★★★★★★★★★#1114 · hits 59% · avg +10.4% Gordon Haskett Capital Corporation $115 → $125+8.7% Hold +0.7% Reiterated 02.07.26on TipRanks 13:25 +2.5%next day −3.0% · 5 days −0.7%
Georgy Vashchenko★★★★★★★★★★#8914 · hits 0% · avg −1.6% Freedom Capital Markets $92.00 → $124+34.8% Hold −0.1% Downgrade 28.05.26on TipRanks Jul 27 11:25 +17.3%next day +2.8% · 5 days −3.6%
Krisztina Katai★★★★★★★★★★#2568 · hits 57% · avg +6.1% Deutsche Bank $99.00 Hold −20.3% Reiterated 27.05.26on TipRanks 12:35 +2.3%next day +17.3% · 5 days +16.8%
Paul Lejuez★★★★★★★★★★#572 · hits 59% · avg +11.4% Citi $125 Hold +0.7% Assigned 12.05.26on TipRanks 05:55 −0.9%next day −3.1% · 5 days +2.4%
Sam Hudson★★★★★★★★★★#5526 · hits 64% · avg +5.7% Rothschild & Co Redburn $165 Buy +32.9% Upgrade 17.02.26on TipRanks 05:10 +1.8%next day +2.6% · 5 days +1.8%
Unknown Analyst CFRA — Sell — Downgrade 30.01.26on TipRanks 13:06 +0.5%next day −0.8% · 5 days +5.5%
Chris Bottiglieri★★★★★★★★★★#1211 · hits 73% · avg +34.4% Exane BNP Paribas $118 → $87.00−26.3% Sell −29.9% Downgrade 21.01.26on TipRanks 10:45 −2.0%next day −5.1% · 5 days −11.9%

The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included

Best analysts covering Dollar Tree

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months Michael Lasser★★★★★★★★★★UBS · #195
Hits 68%337 of 497 Average return +16.4%
1 year John Heinbockel★★★★★★★★★★Guggenheim · #753
Hits 65%189 of 293 Average return +12.0%
2 years Edward Kelly★★★★★★★★★★Wells Fargo · #423
Hits 67%312 of 468 Average return +11.1%

Most profitable

3 months Michael Lasser★★★★★★★★★★UBS · #195
Hits 68%337 of 497 Average return +16.4%
1 year John Heinbockel★★★★★★★★★★Guggenheim · #753
Hits 65%189 of 293 Average return +12.0%
2 years Michael Lasser★★★★★★★★★★UBS · #195
Hits 68%337 of 497 Average return +16.4%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $138 at a price of $114 (+20.9%); now: $139 at $124 (+11.7%).

$120$130$140Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$137Average target$139Price$124

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend

020406030325Oct 2527266Nov28217Dec15137Jan 2615167Feb14148Mar113146Apr220199May212166Jun115165Jul19134Aug19133Sep16103Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy221000
Buy201215191916
Hold191616131310
Sell965433

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 24.11.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $0.93 (from $0.85 to $1.41). Last quarter: $2.70.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $5.0B (from $5.0B to $5.1B). Last quarter: $4.9B.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumerdefensive

JBSJBS
MAMAMama's Creations
WMTWalmart
BGBunge Global
TPBTurning Point Brands
About Dollar Tree
  • CEO: Michael C. Creedon Jr.
  • Employees: 150,000
  • 500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, 23320, US
  • www.dollartree.com

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1.25. Its product range is broad, encompassing essential consumables like confectionery, various food items, health and personal care products, household cleaning chemicals, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated foods. Beyond these daily necessities, customers can find a diverse selection of general merchandise, including toys, resilient housewares, gifts, stationery, party essentials, greeting cards, softline apparel, and arts and crafts supplies. The segment also prominently features seasonal items for holidays such as Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day. By January 29, 2022, this division maintained a substantial presence with 8,061 retail locations across its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, supported by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and an additional two in Canada. Conversely, the Family Dollar segment functions as a general merchandise discount chain with varying prices. Its inventory is comprehensive, covering a wide array of consumable goods such as groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care and health products, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, automotive accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies. Additionally, the segment provides home products, which include housewares, home décor, giftware, and domestics like bedding and towels. Shoppers can also find apparel and accessories, encompassing clothing, fashion items, and footwear. Seasonal and electronics merchandise, ranging from holiday-specific goods to pre-paid cellular phones and services, along with stationery, school supplies, and toys, are also key offerings. As of January 29, 2022, the Family Dollar brand operated 8,016 stores and was supported by 11 distribution centers. Fo

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 18 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗