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MP Materials (MP): analyst forecast and price target

$40.17 −3.46% close 16.10.26 · market cap $7.6B · Basicmaterials · Industrial Materials
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Strong Buy

7 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Ratings of 7 analysts in the last 3 months · top analysts only

12-month forecast

$72.57+80.7% upside

Based on 7 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $72.57, the highest $85.00, the lowest $60.00. The average is +80.7% from the last price of $40.17.

$40.00$60.00$80.00Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$85.00Average$72.57Low$60.00
Highest target $85.00 Average target $72.57 Lowest target $60.00
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Name not given — $75.00 → $65.00−13.3% Buy +61.8% Reiterated 14.10.26on TipRanks 07:35 −4.8%next day +3.9%
Carlos De Alba★★★★★★★★★★#697 · hits 57% · avg +16.1% Morgan Stanley $66.00 Buy +64.3% Reiterated 07.10.26on TipRanks 08:15 −4.3%next day +0.1% · 5 days −12.8%
Richard Garchitorena★★★★★★★★★★#2557 · hits 59% · avg +9.1% Barclays $65.00 Buy +61.8% Reiterated 05.10.26on TipRanks 04:55 −1.0%next day +3.1% · 5 days −7.9%
Ben Kallo★★★★★★★★★★#2316 · hits 43% · avg +6.2% Robert W. Baird $80.00 → $65.00−18.8% Buy +61.8% Reiterated 01.10.26on TipRanks 07:25 −2.7%next day +1.2% · 5 days −1.2%
Vitaly Kononov★★★★★★★★★★#6574 · hits 36% · avg +5.4% Freedom Capital Markets $57.00 Hold +41.9% Initiated 16.09.26on TipRanks 10:05 +0.1%next day −0.3% · 5 days −2.3%
Matt Summerville★★★★★★★★★★#669 · hits 55% · avg +14.0% D.A. Davidson $82.00 Buy +104.1% Reiterated 21.08.26on TipRanks 17:55 −4.1%next day +4.5% · 5 days −5.1%
Lawson Winder★★★★★★★★★★#424 · hits 57% · avg +16.2% Bank of America Securities $85.00 Buy +111.6% Reiterated 17.08.26on TipRanks 07:38 +0.1%next day −2.5% · 5 days −0.7%
Corinne Blanchard★★★★★★★★★★#12106 · hits 27% · avg −12.1% Deutsche Bank $61.00 → $58.00−4.9% Buy +44.4% Assigned 10.08.26on TipRanks 08:35 +7.0%next day +1.4% · 5 days +7.1%
Bill Peterson★★★★★★★★★★#2254 · hits 49% · avg +6.9% J.P. Morgan $60.00 Buy +49.4% Reiterated 10.08.26on TipRanks 07:40 +7.0%next day +1.4% · 5 days +7.1%
Neal Dingmann★★★★★★★★★★#11544 · hits 41% · avg −2.5% William Blair — Buy — Reiterated 07.08.26on TipRanks 15:35 +7.0%next day +7.0% · 5 days +14.5%
Raj Ray★★★★★★★★★★#286 · hits 67% · avg +31.0% BMO Capital $75.00 Buy +86.7% Reiterated 07.08.26on TipRanks 08:07 +7.0%next day +7.0% · 5 days +14.5%
George Gianarikas★★★★★★★★★★#3027 · hits 40% · avg +5.1% Canaccord Genuity $82.00 Buy +104.1% Reiterated 06.08.26on TipRanks Aug 7 16:16 −0.7%next day +7.0% · 5 days +16.0%
Derick Ma★★★★★★★★★★#1435 · hits 52% · avg +38.1% TD Cowen $85.00 Buy +111.6% Assigned 24.07.26on TipRanks 09:52 −7.6%next day +4.4% · 5 days −0.9%
Brian K. Lee★★★★★★★★★★#6338 · hits 45% · avg +0.8% Goldman Sachs $80.00 → $70.00−12.5% Buy +74.3% Reiterated 08.07.26on TipRanks Jul 9 08:31 +5.3%next day −3.3% · 5 days −7.9%
Carter Goman★★★★★★★★★★#9539 · hits 40% · avg −4.2% Needham $81.00 Buy +101.6% Initiated 07.06.26on TipRanks Jun 9 06:05 −2.9%next day −5.4% · 5 days −0.9%
Unknown Analyst Wedbush $90.00 → $100+11.1% Buy +148.9% Reiterated 08.05.26on TipRanks May 6 21:01 −4.5%next day −3.3% · 5 days −15.0%
Subash Chandra★★★★★★★★★★#1262 · hits 48% · avg +10.5% Benchmark Co. $80.00 Buy +99.2% Reiterated 02.02.26on TipRanks 07:25 +0.1%next day +10.1% · 5 days +6.5%
David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★#1693 · hits 49% · avg +10.0% TD Cowen $80.00 Buy +99.2% Reiterated 09.11.25on TipRanks 20:20 +8.0%next day −3.7% · 5 days −8.9%

The latest rating of each analyst in the last 12 months, as TipRanks lists them. Every rating kept, earlier ones included

Best analysts covering MP Materials

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%
1 year David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%
2 years David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%

Most profitable

3 months David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%
1 year David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%
2 years David Deckelbaum★★★★★★★★★★TD Cowen · #1693
Hits 49%115 of 236 Average return +10.0%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $71.42 at a price of $47.29 (+51.0%); now: $70.00 at $40.17 (+74.3%).

$40.00$50.00$60.00$70.00Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$72.57Average target$70.00Price$40.17

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend · top analysts

01020198Oct 254126Nov4114Dec391Jan 2618Feb110Mar210Apr112May111Jun315Jul316Aug314Sep12Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy113330
Buy121115161412
Hold000000
Sell000000

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 05.11.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $-0.01 (from $-0.08 to $0.11). Last quarter: $-0.01.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $117M (from $103M to $138M). Last quarter: $126M.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Basicmaterials

HBMnot in our ETFs
KGCnot in our ETFs
USARUSA Rare Earth
SSRMSSR Mining
EQXnot in our ETFs
About MP Materials
  • CEO: James Henry Litinsky
  • Employees: 998
  • 1700 S. Pavilion Center Drive, Las Vegas, NV, 89135, US
  • mpmaterials.com

MP Materials Corp. manages and operates facilities dedicated to the extraction and refinement of rare earth elements. The company's primary asset is the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine, a key operation situated within the Western Hemisphere. MP Materials holds comprehensive mineral rights for this significant deposit and its surrounding areas, alongside proprietary intellectual property essential for the ongoing processing and technological development of rare earth minerals. Its product offerings include critical elements such as cerium, lanthanum, neodymium, praseodymium, and samarium. Established in 2017, the company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 4 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗