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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL): analyst forecast and price target
Analyst consensus
Moderate Buy3 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Ratings of 6 analysts in the last 3 months12-month forecast
Based on 6 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $13.88, the highest $16.00, the lowest $12.00. The average is +30.6% from the last price of $10.62.
Analyst ratings 7
| Analyst | Firm | Price target | Rating | Upside | Action | Date | Move vs SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI OpenAI Asset ManagementOpenAI 4o | TipRanks - OpenAI | $11.50 → $12.00+4.3% | Buy | +13.0% | Reiterated | 17.10.26on TipRanks 08:06 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Asset ManagementAnthropic Opus-4.1 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $10.50 → $11.00+4.8% | Hold | +3.6% | Reiterated | 17.10.26on TipRanks 08:06 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Asset ManagementOpenAI 4o | TipRanks - OpenAI | $12.00 → $11.50−4.2% | Buy | +8.3% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Asset ManagementAnthropic Opus-4.1 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $11.00 → $10.50−4.5% | Hold | −1.1% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI Google Asset ManagementGemini 2.5Pro | TipRanks - Google | $11.50 → $11.00−4.3% | Hold | +3.6% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI PerPlexity Asset ManagementPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $12.50 → $12.00−4.0% | Buy | +13.0% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| Paul Johnson★★★★★★★★★★#3535 · hits 66% · avg +5.0% | KBW | $13.50 | Hold | +27.1% | Reiterated | 14.10.26on TipRanks 07:11 | −0.7%next day +2.4% | ↗ |
| AI xAi Asset ManagementxAI Grok-3 | TipRanks - xAI | $12.00 | Buy | +13.0% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| AI DeepSeek Asset ManagementDeepSeek R1-0528 | TipRanks - DeepSeek | $11.50 | Hold | +8.3% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Asset ManagementOpenAI 4o | TipRanks - OpenAI | $12.00 | Buy | +13.0% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Asset ManagementAnthropic Opus-4.1 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $11.00 | Hold | +3.6% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| AI Google Asset ManagementGemini 2.5Pro | TipRanks - Google | $11.50 | Hold | +8.3% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| AI PerPlexity Asset ManagementPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $12.50 | Buy | +17.7% | Reiterated | 13.10.26on TipRanks 11:07 | — | |
| Douglas Harter★★★★★★★★★★#522 · hits 63% · avg +14.7% | BTIG | $13.00 | Buy | +22.4% | Upgrade | 01.09.26on TipRanks Sep 2 02:35 | +0.9%next day 0.0% · 5 days −2.8% | ↗ |
| Derek Hewett★★★★★★★★★★#3136 · hits 57% · avg +4.6% | Bank of America Securities | $14.00 | Buy | +31.8% | Reiterated | 17.08.26on TipRanks 04:45 | −1.3%next day +1.3% · 5 days +2.0% | ↗ |
| Finian O'Shea★★★★★★★★★★#1610 · hits 57% · avg +6.0% | Wells Fargo | $12.00 | Sell | +13.0% | Assigned | 10.08.26on TipRanks 05:50 | −1.6%next day −0.2% · 5 days −3.0% | ↗ |
| Arren Cyganovich★★★★★★★★★★#408 · hits 68% · avg +16.4% | Truist Financial | $16.00 | Buy | +50.7% | Reiterated | 07.08.26on TipRanks 11:27 | +1.7%next day −1.6% · 5 days −3.4% | ↗ |
| Melissa Wedel★★★★★★★★★★#3259 · hits 58% · avg +6.7% | J.P. Morgan | $14.75 | Hold | +38.9% | Initiated | 24.07.26on TipRanks Jul 27 12:54 | +0.1%next day +2.6% · 5 days −1.2% | ↗ |
| Brian McKenna★★★★★★★★★★#638 · hits 62% · avg +21.0% | Citizens JMP | $18.00 → $16.00−11.1% | Buy | +50.7% | Reiterated | 27.01.26on TipRanks 05:45 | 0.0%next day −0.3% · 5 days −1.8% | ↗ |
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Every rating the collector has kept for the last 12 months, including the earlier ones of the same analyst. Latest of each analyst
Best analysts covering Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.
Most accurate
Most profitable
Recommendation trend
Strong BuyBuyHoldSell
| Rating | 05.26 | 06.26 | 07.26 | 08.26 | 09.26 | 10.26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Hold | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Earnings and sales forecast
Next report: 03.11.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)
Earnings per share
Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $0.39 (from $0.37 to $0.41). Last quarter: $0.41.
Sales
Next quarter’s sales estimate — $44M (from $43M to $44M). Last quarter: $33M.
Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Financial
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
- CEO: Kenneth John Kencel
- 375 Park Avenue, New York City, NY, 10152, US
- www.ncdl.com
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL), initially formed as a Delaware limited liability company on March 13, 2018, and subsequently restructured into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019, prior to commencing its business activities, operates as a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified investment company. It has chosen to be regulated as a Business Development Company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. The firm's principal investment goal is to generate appealing risk-adjusted returns, primarily through current income. This is achieved by predominantly investing in senior secured loans provided to private equity-backed U.S. middle market companies, which NCDL identifies as enterprises with annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) generally ranging from $10.0 million to $100.0 million. Its portfolio will largely comprise what it refers to as "Senior Loans," primarily consisting of privately originated first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (excluding "last-out" positions) to these performing U.S. middle market businesses. Additionally, the company selectively pursues "Junior Capital Investments," which include instruments such as second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out unitranche loan positions, and various equity-related securities.
Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 72 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗