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Toll Brothers (TOL): analyst forecast and price target
Analyst consensus
Moderate Buy12 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Ratings of 15 analysts in the last 3 months12-month forecast
Based on 15 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $169, the highest $195, the lowest $118. The average is +26.5% from the last price of $134.
Analyst ratings 23
| Analyst | Firm | Price target | Rating | Upside | Action | Date | Move vs SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl★★★★★★★★★★#621 · hits 62% · avg +10.0% | RBC Capital | $158 → $148−6.3% | Buy | +10.7% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 10:31 | +2.4%next day +0.9% | ↗ |
| AI xAi Residential ConstructionxAI Grok-4 | TipRanks - xAI | $165 → $147−10.9% | Buy | +9.9% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI DeepSeek Residential ConstructionDeepSeek V3.2-Speciale | TipRanks - DeepSeek | $154 → $138−10.4% | Hold | +3.2% | Downgrade | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Residential ConstructionOpenAI 5.2 | TipRanks - OpenAI | $164 → $146−11.0% | Buy | +9.2% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Residential ConstructionAnthropic Opus-4.6 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $162 → $145−10.5% | Buy | +8.5% | Upgrade | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI Google Residential ConstructionGemini 3.1Pro | TipRanks - Google | $168 → $150−10.7% | Buy | +12.2% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| AI PerPlexity Residential ConstructionPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $165 → $147−10.9% | Buy | +9.9% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 08:07 | — | |
| Anthony Pettinari★★★★★★★★★★#445 · hits 61% · avg +13.3% | Citi | $179 → $168−6.1% | Buy | +25.7% | Reiterated | 15.10.26on TipRanks 06:00 | +2.4%next day +0.9% | ↗ |
| Sam Reid★★★★★★★★★★#3948 · hits 53% · avg +3.5% | Wells Fargo | $185 | Buy | +38.4% | Reiterated | 12.10.26on TipRanks Oct 13 07:09 | −0.7%next day +0.4% | ↗ |
| Susan Maklari★★★★★★★★★★#6074 · hits 49% · avg +0.8% | Goldman Sachs | $171 → $161−5.8% | Hold | +20.4% | Reiterated | 12.10.26on TipRanks 06:50 | −0.7%next day +0.4% | ↗ |
| Michael Rehaut★★★★★★★★★★#1724 · hits 56% · avg +5.6% | J.P. Morgan | $179 | Buy | +33.9% | Initiated | 06.10.26on TipRanks Oct 8 07:00 | +1.4%next day −2.8% · 5 days −3.6% | ↗ |
| Matthew Bouley★★★★★★★★★★#799 · hits 57% · avg +9.8% | Barclays | $122 → $118−3.3% | Sell | −11.7% | Reiterated | 06.10.26on TipRanks 04:50 | +1.4%next day −2.8% · 5 days −3.6% | ↗ |
| Adam Kramer★★★★★★★★★★#9339 · hits 40% · avg −1.1% | Morgan Stanley | $159 | Buy | +18.9% | Initiated | 01.10.26on TipRanks 05:35 | +1.0%next day −0.6% · 5 days −2.4% | ↗ |
| Stephen Kim★★★★★★★★★★#551 · hits 62% · avg +14.9% | Evercore ISI | $191 → $184−3.7% | Buy | +37.6% | Reiterated | 25.09.26on TipRanks 08:10 | +0.5%next day +0.1% · 5 days −0.3% | ↗ |
| Sam Reid★★★★★★★★★★#3948 · hits 53% · avg +3.5% | Wells Fargo | $185 | Buy | +38.4% | Reiterated | 25.09.26on TipRanks 06:55 | +0.5%next day +0.1% · 5 days −0.3% | ↗ |
| Jonathan Bettenhausen★★★★★★★★★★#5622 · hits 69% · avg +7.8% | Truist Financial | $170 | Buy | +27.2% | Reiterated | 16.09.26on TipRanks 06:35 | −0.7%next day +0.1% · 5 days −0.1% | ↗ |
| Chris Graja★★★★★★★★★★#782 · hits 70% · avg +12.9% | Argus Research | $170 | Buy | +27.2% | Reiterated | 08.09.26on TipRanks Sep 9 10:31 | −3.2%next day −0.5% · 5 days −0.5% | ↗ |
| AI xAi Residential ConstructionxAI Grok-4 | TipRanks - xAI | $162 → $165+1.9% | Buy | +23.4% | Reiterated | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| AI DeepSeek Residential ConstructionDeepSeek V3.2-Speciale | TipRanks - DeepSeek | $159 → $154−3.1% | Hold | +15.2% | Downgrade | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| AI OpenAI Residential ConstructionOpenAI 5.2 | TipRanks - OpenAI | $159 → $164+3.1% | Buy | +22.7% | Reiterated | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| AI Anthropic Residential ConstructionAnthropic Opus-4.6 | TipRanks - Anthropic | $152 → $162+6.6% | Buy | +21.2% | Upgrade | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| AI Google Residential ConstructionGemini 3.1Pro | TipRanks - Google | $162 → $168+3.7% | Buy | +25.7% | Reiterated | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| AI PerPlexity Residential ConstructionPerPlexity SonarPro | TipRanks - PerPlexity | $164 → $165+0.6% | Buy | +23.4% | Reiterated | 29.08.26on TipRanks 10:05 | — | |
| Jade Rahmani★★★★★★★★★★#447 · hits 67% · avg +13.8% | KBW | $161 → $170+5.6% | Buy | +27.2% | Reiterated | 28.08.26on TipRanks 06:35 | +1.0%next day −1.6% · 5 days −3.2% | ↗ |
| Anthony Pettinari★★★★★★★★★★#445 · hits 61% · avg +13.3% | Citi | $176 → $179+1.7% | Buy | +33.9% | Reiterated | 21.08.26on TipRanks 06:27 | +0.9%next day +0.5% · 5 days −1.1% | ↗ |
| Unknown Analyst | Oppenheimer | $180 | Buy | +34.6% | Reiterated | 20.08.26on TipRanks 08:55 | −1.5%next day +0.9% · 5 days −1.1% | ↗ |
| John Lovallo★★★★★★★★★★#1719 · hits 56% · avg +7.5% | UBS | $187 → $195+4.3% | Buy | +45.8% | Reiterated | 20.08.26on TipRanks 06:55 | −1.5%next day +0.9% · 5 days −1.1% | ↗ |
| Michael Dahl★★★★★★★★★★#621 · hits 62% · avg +10.0% | RBC Capital | $158 | Buy | +18.2% | Reiterated | 19.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 07:15 | +3.8%next day −1.5% · 5 days +0.1% | ↗ |
| Ryan Gilbert★★★★★★★★★★#2013 · hits 60% · avg +9.6% | BTIG | — | Hold | — | Reiterated | 19.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 06:09 | +3.8%next day −1.5% · 5 days +0.1% | ↗ |
| Rafe Jadrosich★★★★★★★★★★#1187 · hits 56% · avg +8.4% | Bank of America Securities | $180 | Buy | +34.6% | Reiterated | 19.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 05:18 | +3.8%next day −1.5% · 5 days +0.1% | ↗ |
| Matthew Bouley★★★★★★★★★★#799 · hits 57% · avg +9.8% | Barclays | $122 | Sell | −8.8% | Reiterated | 19.08.26on TipRanks Aug 20 03:55 | +3.8%next day −1.5% · 5 days +0.1% | ↗ |
| Susan Maklari★★★★★★★★★★#6074 · hits 49% · avg +0.8% | Goldman Sachs | $167 | Hold | +24.9% | Reiterated | 18.08.26on TipRanks Aug 19 08:45 | −1.1%next day +3.8% · 5 days +5.8% | ↗ |
| Michael Rehaut★★★★★★★★★★#1724 · hits 56% · avg +5.6% | J.P. Morgan | $152 | Buy | +13.7% | Reiterated | 22.05.26on TipRanks May 23 08:05 | −0.5%next day +2.0% · 5 days +1.3% | ↗ |
| Kenneth Zener★★★★★★★★★★#872 · hits 65% · avg +12.3% | Seaport Global | — | Hold | — | Downgrade | 06.04.26on TipRanks 17:30 | −3.5%next day +2.0% · 5 days +1.5% | ↗ |
| Jay McCanless★★★★★★★★★★#442 · hits 64% · avg +17.0% | Citizens JMP | $175 | Buy | +30.9% | Initiated | 07.01.26on TipRanks 05:50 | −0.6%next day +0.6% · 5 days +7.6% | ↗ |
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Every rating the collector has kept for the last 12 months, including the earlier ones of the same analyst. Latest of each analyst
Best analysts covering Toll Brothers
TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.
Most accurate
Most profitable
How the average price target moved
The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $171 at a price of $135 (+26.7%); now: $169 at $134 (+26.5%).
PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target
Recommendation trend
Strong BuyBuyHoldSell
| Rating | 05.26 | 06.26 | 07.26 | 08.26 | 09.26 | 10.26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 18 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| Hold | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Sell | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Earnings and sales forecast
Next report: 14.12.26 (Q4 2026, date not confirmed)
Earnings per share
Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $4.89 (from $4.32 to $5.12). Last quarter: $2.97.
Sales
Next quarter’s sales estimate — $3.5B (from $3.5B to $3.6B). Last quarter: $2.7B.
Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Consumercyclical
About Toll Brothers
- CEO: Karl K. Mistry
- Employees: 4,900
- 1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, 19034, US
- www.tollbrothers.com
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) stands as a prominent luxury homebuilder operating across the United States. The company, along with its various divisions, specializes in the design, construction, marketing, sale, and financing of upscale detached and attached residences within master-planned communities. Its operations are structured into two main divisions: Traditional Home Building and City Living. The latter specifically focuses on developing, constructing, and selling condominiums. Beyond its core homebuilding activities, Toll Brothers diversifies its portfolio by developing and managing golf courses and country clubs, acquiring and divesting land, and constructing, operating, and leasing apartment complexes. It further enhances its offerings by providing a wide array of interior design and finishing selections, encompassing everything from flooring and cabinetry to smart home systems and security features. The firm maintains a vertically integrated structure, with its own operations spanning architectural and engineering services, mortgage and title insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, and the manufacturing and assembly of various housing components. Its clientele primarily consists of affluent buyers, including those seeking to upgrade their homes, empty-nesters, active adults, and individuals purchasing second homes. Toll Brothers has also forged a strategic alliance with Equity Residential to jointly develop new rental apartment communities across various U.S. markets. Established in 1967, the company's headquarters are situated in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 32 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗