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Valero Energy (VLO): analyst forecast and price target

$445 +0.15% close 16.10.26 · market cap $128B · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing SPY 0.20%
Price targets and ratings of

Analyst consensus

Moderate Buy

8 Buy9 Hold0 Sell

Ratings of 17 analysts in the last 3 months

12-month forecast

$430−3.4% downside

Based on 17 price targets given in the last 3 months, the average target is $430, the highest $496, the lowest $276. The average is −3.4% from the last price of $445.

$200$300$400$500Jan 26AprJulOctJan 27AprJulOctHigh$496Average$430Low$276
Highest target $496 Average target $430 Lowest target $276
AnalystFirmPrice target RatingUpsideAction Date Move vs SPY
Sam Margolin★★★★★★★★★★#313 · hits 72% · avg +15.5% Wells Fargo $389 → $485+24.7% Buy +9.1% Assigned 14.10.26on TipRanks 06:50 +1.8%next day −3.7%
Vikram Bagri★★★★★★★★★★#12347 · hits 38% · avg −17.6% Citi $302 → $485+60.6% Hold +9.1% Reiterated 13.10.26on TipRanks 06:35 +4.7%next day +1.8%
Duladeth Bik★★★★★★★★★★#6972 · hits 100% · avg +67.1% DBS $436 Hold −2.0% Reiterated 12.10.26on TipRanks 08:55 +0.6%next day +4.7%
Arun Jayaram★★★★★★★★★★#1023 · hits 59% · avg +8.0% J.P. Morgan $339 → $439+29.5% Buy −1.3% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks Oct 9 08:10 +5.1%next day −2.9% · 5 days +0.3%
Neil Mehta★★★★★★★★★★#490 · hits 63% · avg +11.2% Goldman Sachs $457 → $496+8.5% Buy +11.5% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks Oct 9 08:10 +5.1%next day −2.9% · 5 days +0.3%
Lloyd Byrne★★★★★★★★★★#307 · hits 58% · avg +18.7% Jefferies $401 → $394−1.7% Hold −11.4% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks 14:15 +5.1%next day −2.9% · 5 days +0.3%
Nitin Kumar CFA★★★★★★★★★★#878 · hits 60% · avg +8.3% Mizuho Securities $300 → $434+44.7% Hold −2.4% Reiterated 08.10.26on TipRanks 06:25 +5.1%next day −2.9% · 5 days +0.3%
Joe Laetsch★★★★★★★★★★#3110 · hits 61% · avg +5.9% Morgan Stanley $411 Hold −7.6% Assigned 07.10.26on TipRanks 06:16 +1.4%next day +5.1% · 5 days +9.4%
Phillip Jungwirth★★★★★★★★★★#1299 · hits 52% · avg +8.6% BMO Capital $455 Buy +2.3% Reiterated 06.10.26on TipRanks Oct 7 09:05 −0.6%next day +1.4% · 5 days +9.0%
Theresa Chen★★★★★★★★★★#64 · hits 74% · avg +18.7% Barclays $323 → $441+36.5% Buy −0.8% Reiterated 06.10.26on TipRanks 04:50 −0.6%next day +1.4% · 5 days +9.0%
Jean Ann Salisbury★★★★★★★★★★#2367 · hits 69% · avg +5.5% Bank of America Securities $395 → $414+4.8% Hold −6.9% Assigned 01.10.26on TipRanks Oct 2 05:11 +5.2%next day −1.3% · 5 days +7.4%
Jason Gabelman★★★★★★★★★★#503 · hits 65% · avg +15.3% TD Cowen $350 → $375+7.1% Hold −15.7% Reiterated 01.10.26on TipRanks 08:10 +5.2%next day −1.3% · 5 days +7.4%
Neil Mehta★★★★★★★★★★#490 · hits 63% · avg +11.2% Goldman Sachs $365 → $457+25.2% Buy +2.8% Reiterated 22.09.26on TipRanks Sep 23 06:26 −4.1%next day +0.4% · 5 days +4.0%
Lloyd Byrne★★★★★★★★★★#307 · hits 58% · avg +18.7% Jefferies $312 → $401+28.5% Hold −9.8% Downgrade 21.09.26on TipRanks 17:57 −4.1%next day +0.4% · 5 days +4.0%
Manav Gupta★★★★★★★★★★#185 · hits 69% · avg +22.7% UBS $450 Buy +1.2% Reiterated 14.09.26on TipRanks 09:55 −1.5%next day +4.1% · 5 days +0.8%
Justin Jenkins★★★★★★★★★★#17 · hits 79% · avg +24.8% Raymond James $350 → $450+28.6% Buy +1.2% Reiterated 14.09.26on TipRanks 09:30 −1.5%next day +4.1% · 5 days +0.8%
Joe Laetsch★★★★★★★★★★#3110 · hits 61% · avg +5.9% Morgan Stanley $255 → $411+61.2% Hold −7.6% Assigned 14.09.26on TipRanks 07:55 −1.5%next day +4.1% · 5 days +0.8%
Jean Ann Salisbury★★★★★★★★★★#2367 · hits 69% · avg +5.5% Bank of America Securities $318 → $395+24.2% Hold −11.2% Reiterated 10.09.26on TipRanks 22:30 +0.4%next day −1.5% · 5 days +5.9%
Theresa Chen★★★★★★★★★★#64 · hits 74% · avg +18.7% Barclays $323 Buy −27.4% Reiterated 10.09.26on TipRanks 05:36 −0.3%next day +0.4% · 5 days +6.4%
John Royall★★★★★★★★★★#1677 · hits 57% · avg +10.3% Piper Sandler $329 → $435+32.2% Buy −2.2% Reiterated 03.09.26on TipRanks 06:50 +0.2%next day +0.4% · 5 days +6.5%
Sam Margolin★★★★★★★★★★#313 · hits 72% · avg +15.5% Wells Fargo $356 → $389+9.3% Buy −12.5% Assigned 01.09.26on TipRanks 06:30 +1.5%next day +0.7% · 5 days +7.4%
Hans Engel★★★★★★★★★★#1835 · hits 58% · avg +11.1% Erste Group — Hold — Downgrade 27.08.26on TipRanks 11:55 −1.1%next day +1.9% · 5 days +6.7%
Arun Jayaram★★★★★★★★★★#1023 · hits 59% · avg +8.0% J.P. Morgan $294 → $339+15.3% Buy −23.8% Reiterated 04.08.26on TipRanks Aug 5 08:10 −1.4%next day −1.9% · 5 days +5.0%
Nitin Kumar CFA★★★★★★★★★★#878 · hits 60% · avg +8.3% Mizuho Securities $289 → $300+3.8% Hold −32.5% Reiterated 04.08.26on TipRanks 08:21 −1.4%next day −1.9% · 5 days +5.0%
Sergey Pigarev★★★★★★★★★★#7336 · hits 33% · avg +3.3% Freedom Capital Markets $205 → $276+34.6% Hold −37.9% Upgrade 03.08.26on TipRanks 10:25 −3.1%next day −1.4% · 5 days +0.4%
Jason Gabelman★★★★★★★★★★#503 · hits 65% · avg +15.3% TD Cowen $338 → $350+3.6% Hold −21.3% Assigned 03.08.26on TipRanks 05:30 −3.1%next day −1.4% · 5 days +0.4%
Vikram Bagri★★★★★★★★★★#12347 · hits 38% · avg −17.6% Citi $259 → $302+16.6% Hold −32.1% Reiterated 14.07.26on TipRanks 06:30 +1.6%next day −3.3% · 5 days +4.9%
Phillip Jungwirth★★★★★★★★★★#1299 · hits 52% · avg +8.6% BMO Capital $290 Buy −34.8% Assigned 02.07.26on TipRanks 07:38 −0.5%next day +0.1% · 5 days +3.5%
Betty Zhang★★★★★★★★★★#2397 · hits 72% · avg +18.6% Scotiabank $226 Buy −49.2% Reiterated 01.05.26on TipRanks May 3 07:05 −2.5%next day +2.3% · 5 days −4.7%
Stephen Richardson★★★★★★★★★★#646 · hits 63% · avg +12.1% Evercore ISI $250 Hold −43.8% Reiterated 01.05.26on TipRanks 10:45 −2.5%next day +2.3% · 5 days −4.7%
Doug Leggate★★★★★★★★★★#810 · hits 57% · avg +10.1% Wolfe Research $203 Sell −54.4% Downgrade 21.04.26on TipRanks 05:06 +3.8%next day −0.6% · 5 days +1.9%
Duladeth Bik★★★★★★★★★★#6972 · hits 100% · avg +67.1% DBS $197 Buy −55.7% Reiterated 04.02.26on TipRanks Feb 5 12:40 +3.2%next day +0.2% · 5 days +3.1%

Every rating the collector has kept for the last 12 months, including the earlier ones of the same analyst. Latest of each analyst

Best analysts covering Valero Energy

TipRanks picks them by their record on this stock; the figures under the name are their record across all their ratings.

Most accurate

3 months Neil Mehta★★★★★★★★★★Goldman Sachs · #490
Hits 63%304 of 486 Average return +11.2%
1 year Theresa Chen★★★★★★★★★★Barclays · #64
Hits 74%361 of 488 Average return +18.7%
2 years John Royall★★★★★★★★★★Piper Sandler · #1677
Hits 57%98 of 171 Average return +10.3%

Most profitable

3 months Sam Margolin★★★★★★★★★★Wells Fargo · #313
Hits 72%225 of 313 Average return +15.5%
1 year Manav Gupta★★★★★★★★★★UBS · #185
Hits 69%238 of 346 Average return +22.7%
2 years Theresa Chen★★★★★★★★★★Barclays · #64
Hits 74%361 of 488 Average return +18.7%

How the average price target moved

The average target of all analysts (their ratings of the 3 months before) on each day, the top analysts’ dashed, against the price; the site keeps this record since 1 October 2026. On 01.10.26: target $379 at a price of $388 (−2.3%); now: $430 at $445 (−3.4%).

$400$450Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Top analysts$437Average target$430Price$445

PriceAverage targetTop analysts’ target

Recommendation trend

0102030217Oct 25298Nov248Dec228Jan 26178Feb208Mar1891Apr18142May17152Jun19131Jul1711Aug2111Sep1414Oct

Strong BuyBuyHoldSell

Rating05.2606.2607.2608.2609.2610.26
Strong Buy000000
Buy181719172114
Hold141513111114
Sell221000

Earnings and sales forecast

Next report: 22.10.26 (Q3 2026, date not confirmed)

Earnings per share

Next quarter’s EPS estimate — $20.90 (from $13.56 to $22.77). Last quarter: $12.54.

Sales

Next quarter’s sales estimate — $43.4B (from $27.0B to $67.8B). Last quarter: $44.5B.

Best top-analyst consensus in the sector · Energy

NESRNational Energy Services Reunited
SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure
TRGPTarga Resources
VNOMViper Energy
WMBWilliams Co
About Valero Energy
  • CEO: R. Lane Riggs
  • Employees: 9,785
  • One Valero Way, San Antonio, TX, 78249, US
  • www.valero.com

Valero Energy Corporation functions as a global producer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemicals, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and other international territories. The company organizes its business across three primary divisions: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. Its Refining segment generates a wide array of products, including various types of gasoline (conventional, premium, reformulated, and California Air Resources Board-compliant), diverse diesel fuels (low-sulfur, ultra-low-sulfur, and CARB diesel), jet fuels, blendstocks, asphalts, petrochemicals, and lubricants. This division also handles the sale of lube oils and natural gas liquids. As of the end of 2021, Valero managed 15 petroleum refineries, boasting a combined daily processing capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels of crude oil. The Ethanol division comprises 12 plants, capable of producing around 1.6 billion gallons of ethanol annually. These facilities also yield co-products such as dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible corn oil, which are largely supplied to animal feed markets. Valero distributes its refined goods through wholesale rack and bulk channels, in addition to approximately 7,000 branded retail stations operating under names like Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco. Furthermore, Valero contributes to renewable energy production by owning and operating a facility dedicated to converting animal fats, used cooking oils, and inedible distillers corn oils into renewable diesel. Supporting its extensive operations, the company maintains a comprehensive logistics network that includes crude oil and refined product pipelines, storage terminals, tanks, marine docks, and truck rack bays. Originally established in 1980 as Valero Refining and Marketing Company, the firm adopted its current name, Valero Energy Corporation, in August 1997. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San A

Data from the stock’s TipRanks forecast page, read 37 min ago. It is read again as soon as a new rating appears and at least every 8 hours. TipRanks ↗